Best Fantasy Football Trades Week 7: Justin Jefferson, Zack Moss, Puka Nacua
There's nothing more fun in fantasy football than making trades. However, it can often be hard to know which players to target, and which of your own you can get good value for. That's where FantasySP's tools come in: We can use the FantasySP Fantasy Assistant to find players that have the most Expected Trade Interest (ETI), and then cross-reference them with the Trade Value Chart to see how much those players are worth. Let's take a look at three players with high ETIs that I think are either overvalued or undervalued by the current market.
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Best Fantasy Football Trades To Make Week 7
Buy Low On Justin Jefferson
Normally, these suggestions are based on where I think my opinion of a player differs from consensus. But with this week’s top player in ETI at 21% being Justin Jefferson, I can’t really do that. I’m not about to change anyone’s mind with some under-the-radar stat about this year’s consensus first-overall pick; we all know Jefferson is one of the best players in the league and a top-five fantasy asset when he’s on the field.
However, Jefferson currently isn’t on the field, as he is unfortunately IR with a hamstring injury for at least the next three weeks. This is likely the only reason he is available for trade in many fantasy football leagues, and while he is available, you should absolutely take advantage of it. Very few players have the combination of ceiling and floor to change fantasy matchups on their own nearly every single week, and Jefferson is one of them. To put into perspective how valuable even a few weeks of Jefferson could be, our Trade Value Chart, which values players based on their projections for the rest of the season, still has him as the WR13 despite being guaranteed to miss at least three more weeks.
I don’t buy for a second the rumors that Jefferson will be shut down for the season if the Vikings are out of contention (look how that went with Kyler Murray), so he should be back out there when it matters most, in the fantasy football playoffs. Yes, sinking value into a player producing zero points may hurt your chances of even making the playoffs, but it’s a risk worth taking — play the game to win the whole thing, not to come close. I’ve put my money where my mouth is on this one, trading away DeVonta Smith straight up for Jefferson in the DrRoto.com Staff League despite being right on the playoff bubble. Smith is a great player, but I think I can more or less make up his production with my current bench options and smart management; there’s no making up a player like Jefferson. If you can make a similar move, trading a non-elite asset or two for the right to throw Jefferson on your IR, I’d recommend doing it.
Sell High On Zack Moss
I was shocked to see it, but Moss ranks second in Expected Trade Interest (ETI) this week with a 19% mark. Even though he is the Half-PPR RB6 despite missing Week 1 due to injury, I didn’t imagine that there would be many fantasy managers interested in trading for Moss at this point. Yes, he still scored 15 points in Week 6, but he had by far his fewest carries of the season with just seven, as well as his lowest snap share at 50%, and the general consensus is that those numbers will continue to fall as Jonathan Taylor works his way back to a full workload.
I have voiced my opinion that just assuming Moss completely disappears from this offense may be a mistake, but even I don’t think he will ever be the main back over a 100% Taylor. And I simply don’t trust this offense to support more than one fantasy-relevant running back, especially following today’s news that Anthony Richardson will be undergoing season-ending surgery. As early as this very week, Moss will return to essentially a handcuff, maybe holding onto flex value in deep leagues. I wouldn’t have thought it would be possible to sell him for more value than that, but his ETI indicates otherwise, so consider testing the waters if you roster Moss in any leagues.
Buy Low On Puka Nacua
With Cooper Kupp’s return coinciding with back-to-back new career lows in yardage, including a four-catch, 26-yard dud in Week 6, managers may be looking to move on from the current Half-PPR WR8. The breakout rookie WR ranks ninth in expected ETI with 17%, but I see this more as a buy-low opportunity than a chance to sell high.
Yes, Kupp is the top target in this offense, and his return does impact Nacua’s fantasy value. But even if you just look at his two weeks played alongside Kupp, Nacua ranks 12th in the NFL with a 31.5% target share. Even in Week 6, easily the least productive game of his young NFL career, he dropped what could have been his third touchdown in as many weeks.
While many fantasy managers may be looking at Nacua with Kupp as more of a backend WR2 or even WR3, I think he can hang around as at least a high-end WR2 in fantasy football. This is right about where our Trade Value Chart ranks Nacua, as the WR14 overall. It is a lot for one offense to support two elite fantasy WRs, but Matthew Stafford seems willing and able to target Kupp and Nacua on well over half of his total targets. As long as that continues, one of this season’s biggest breakout fantasy stars should keep shining.