In nine composite matchups between the Chiefs and Bills, Patrick Mahomes' team now has outscored Josh Allen's 245-240.
Final
3 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 29 | |
7 | 14 | 0 | 11 | 32 |
Odds Across Sportsbooks
Game Charts
Player Prop Bets
Our data-driven projections are compared to prop bet odds from several different sportsbooks to determine the best prop bets in any given matchup or week. Learn more.
Player | Stat | O/U | Proj | Diff | RESULT |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
No Player Props available. | |||||
![]() J. Smith-SchusterKC - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 4.5 | 13.1 | 191% (8.6) | 60 ( Over ) |
![]() A. CooperBUF - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 18.5 | 41.7 | 125% (23.2) | 33 ( Over ) |
![]() A. CooperBUF - WR | REC | 1.5 | 3.1 | 107% (1.6) | 4 ( Over ) |
![]() A. CooperBUF - WR | REC YDS | 20.5 | 41.7 | 103% (21.2) | 33 ( Over ) |
![]() J. Smith-SchusterKC - WR | REC | 0.5 | 1 | 100% (0.5) | 2 ( Over ) |
![]() K. ColemanBUF - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 20.5 | 39.6 | 93% (19.1) | 12 ( Under ) |
![]() K. ColemanBUF - WR | REC YDS | 20.5 | 38.9 | 90% (18.4) | 12 ( Under ) |
![]() X. WorthyKC - WR | RUSH YDS | 3.5 | 6.3 | 80% (2.8) | 16 ( Over ) |
![]() M. HollinsBUF - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 11.5 | 20.3 | 77% (8.8) | 73 ( Over ) |
![]() N. GrayKC - TE | REC YDS | 15.5 | 26.9 | 74% (11.4) | 0 ( Under ) |
![]() T. JohnsonBUF - RB | REC YDS | 10.5 | 17.4 | 66% (6.9) | 0 ( Under ) |
![]() N. GrayKC - TE | REC | 1.5 | 2.4 | 60% (0.9) | 0 ( Under ) |
![]() D. KnoxBUF - TE | REC YDS | 15.5 | 24.3 | 57% (8.8) | 7 ( Under ) |
![]() T. JohnsonBUF - RB | RUSH + REC YDS | 20 | 30.1 | 51% (10.1) | 19 ( Under ) |
![]() M. HollinsBUF - WR | REC YDS | 13.5 | 20.3 | 50% (6.8) | 73 ( Over ) |
![]() I. PachecoKC - RB | REC | 1.5 | 0.9 | 40% (-0.6) | 2 ( Over ) |
![]() C. SamuelBUF - WR | REC | 1.5 | 2.1 | 40% (0.6) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() K. ColemanBUF - WR | REC | 1.5 | 2.1 | 40% (0.6) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() T. BassBUF - K | XPM | 2.5 | 3.4 | 36% (0.9) | 2 ( Under ) |
![]() D. HopkinsKC - WR | REC YDS | 20.5 | 26.5 | 29% (6) | 11 ( Under ) |
![]() I. PachecoKC - RB | RUSH ATT | 8.5 | 6.1 | 28% (-2.4) | 5 ( Under ) |
![]() J. AllenBUF - QB | RUSH ATT | 9.5 | 6.9 | 27% (-2.6) | 11 ( Over ) |
![]() I. PachecoKC - RB | REC YDS | 10.5 | 7.8 | 26% (-2.7) | 12 ( Over ) |
![]() J. Smith-SchusterKC - WR | REC YDS | 10.5 | 13.1 | 25% (2.6) | 60 ( Over ) |
![]() T. JohnsonBUF - RB | RUSH YDS | 10.5 | 12.7 | 21% (2.2) | 19 ( Over ) |
![]() D. KnoxBUF - TE | REC | 1.5 | 1.8 | 20% (0.3) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() J. CookBUF - RB | RUSH YDS | 55.5 | 66.5 | 20% (11) | 85 ( Over ) |
![]() R. DavisBUF - RB | RUSH YDS | 10.5 | 12.4 | 18% (1.9) | 4 ( Under ) |
![]() D. HopkinsKC - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 22.5 | 26.5 | 18% (4) | 11 ( Under ) |
![]() J. AllenBUF - QB | RUSH YDS | 50.5 | 42.1 | 17% (-8.4) | 39 ( Under ) |
![]() P. MahomesKC - QB | PASS COMP | 25.5 | 21.3 | 16% (-4.2) | 18 ( Under ) |
![]() J. CookBUF - RB | REC | 2.5 | 2.1 | 16% (-0.4) | 3 ( Over ) |
![]() C. SamuelBUF - WR | REC YDS | 15.5 | 17.9 | 15% (2.4) | 4 ( Under ) |
![]() K. HuntKC - RB | RUSH ATT | 8.5 | 7.2 | 15% (-1.3) | 17 ( Over ) |
![]() J. CookBUF - RB | RUSH + REC YDS | 73.5 | 84.1 | 14% (10.6) | 134 ( Over ) |
![]() J. CookBUF - RB | REC YDS | 15.5 | 17.6 | 14% (2.1) | 49 ( Over ) |
![]() I. PachecoKC - RB | RUSH YDS | 30.5 | 34.6 | 13% (4.1) | 12 ( Under ) |
![]() J. AllenBUF - QB | PASS TDs | 1.5 | 1.7 | 13% (0.2) | 2 ( Over ) |
![]() P. MahomesKC - QB | PASS TDs | 1.5 | 1.7 | 13% (0.2) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() M. HollinsBUF - WR | REC | 1.5 | 1.7 | 13% (0.2) | 3 ( Over ) |
![]() T. JohnsonBUF - RB | REC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 13% (-0.2) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() K. HuntKC - RB | RUSH + REC YDS | 44.5 | 50.2 | 13% (5.7) | 70 ( Over ) |
![]() S. PerineKC - RB | REC YDS | 10.5 | 11.8 | 12% (1.3) | 17 ( Over ) |
![]() P. MahomesKC - QB | PASS ATT | 36.5 | 32.1 | 12% (-4.4) | 26 ( Under ) |
![]() D. KincaidBUF - TE | REC | 3.5 | 3.1 | 11% (-0.4) | 2 ( Under ) |
![]() M. BrownKC - WR | REC | 3.5 | 3.9 | 11% (0.4) | 3 ( Under ) |
![]() C. SamuelBUF - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 16.5 | 18.3 | 11% (1.8) | 4 ( Under ) |
![]() I. PachecoKC - RB | RUSH + REC YDS | 38.5 | 42.4 | 10% (3.9) | 24 ( Under ) |
![]() T. KelceKC - TE | REC YDS | 68.5 | 61.7 | 10% (-6.8) | 19 ( Under ) |
![]() K. HuntKC - RB | REC YDS | 10.5 | 11.5 | 10% (1) | 6 ( Under ) |
![]() K. HuntKC - RB | RUSH YDS | 35.5 | 38.7 | 9% (3.2) | 64 ( Over ) |
![]() P. MahomesKC - QB | RUSH ATT | 4.5 | 4.1 | 9% (-0.4) | 11 ( Over ) |
![]() P. MahomesKC - QB | PASS + RUSH YDS | 285 | 264.4 | 7% (-20.6) | 288 ( Over ) |
![]() X. WorthyKC - WR | REC YDS | 50.5 | 46.9 | 7% (-3.6) | 85 ( Over ) |
![]() M. BrownKC - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 38.5 | 41.2 | 7% (2.7) | 35 ( Under ) |
![]() S. PerineKC - RB | REC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 7% (0.1) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() K. HuntKC - RB | REC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 7% (0.1) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() P. MahomesKC - QB | PASS YDS | 260.5 | 243.2 | 7% (-17.3) | 245 ( Under ) |
![]() J. AllenBUF - QB | PASS YDS | 230.5 | 245.6 | 7% (15.1) | 237 ( Over ) |
![]() X. WorthyKC - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 56.5 | 53.2 | 6% (-3.3) | 101 ( Over ) |
![]() J. AllenBUF - QB | PASS ATT | 30.5 | 28.8 | 6% (-1.7) | 34 ( Over ) |
![]() K. ShakirBUF - WR | REC | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5% (-0.3) | 6 ( Over ) |
![]() K. ShakirBUF - WR | RUSH + REC YDS | 54.5 | 57.1 | 5% (2.6) | 46 ( Under ) |
![]() D. HopkinsKC - WR | REC | 2.5 | 2.6 | 4% (0.1) | 1 ( Under ) |
![]() H. ButkerKC - K | XPM | 2.5 | 2.6 | 4% (0.1) | 3 ( Over ) |
![]() J. AllenBUF - QB | PASS COMP | 20.5 | 19.7 | 4% (-0.8) | 22 ( Over ) |
![]() P. MahomesKC - QB | RUSH YDS | 20.5 | 21.2 | 3% (0.7) | 43 ( Over ) |
![]() J. AllenBUF - QB | PASS + RUSH YDS | 280.5 | 287.7 | 3% (7.2) | 276 ( Under ) |
![]() K. ShakirBUF - WR | REC YDS | 55.5 | 56.8 | 2% (1.3) | 46 ( Under ) |
![]() M. BrownKC - WR | REC YDS | 40.5 | 41.2 | 2% (0.7) | 35 ( Under ) |
![]() J. CookBUF - RB | RUSH ATT | 14.5 | 14.7 | 1% (0.2) | 13 ( Under ) |
![]() D. KincaidBUF - TE | REC YDS | 35.5 | 35.2 | 1% (-0.3) | 13 ( Under ) |
![]() X. WorthyKC - WR | REC | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0% (0) | 6 ( Over ) |
![]() T. KelceKC - TE | REC | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0% (0) | 2 ( Under ) |
No Player Props available. |
Game News


This angle shows it all. Amazing effort by James Cook to give Buffalo the lead.
@MySportsUpdate: James Cook. Wowwwww. WHAT AN EFFORT.
https://t.co/nMnr6s0YUU

Christian Benford is active for the Bills. pic.x.com/UMXZ5ZDNZU

Bills WR Mack Hollins has arrived for today's playoff game against the Chiefs... This man is one of a kind 😂😂 pic.x.com/yQaIOF27w1

RT: If the #Bills wins the Super Bowl this season Von Miller would be only player to win a ring with three different teams #Broncos #Rams and #Bills https://t.co/lLveaTPAEP

No sugarcoating this latest head-bashing into that Chiefs brick wall. Bills squandered a golden opp to win the whole damn thing... again. MVP-caliber QB. Shaky Chiefs team. Watered-down NFC. Now, they start all over. Again. TyDunne: Then, there's the first round picks in this one. Ed Oliver can make some plays. But he often guesses like a soccer goalie on PK's. Xavier Worthy drastically outplays Keon Coleman. Kaiir Elam, yikes. Dalton Kincaid didn't fight for the one deep ball, then had that final play. We've got a lot of time to discuss everything.

Bills inactives vs. Chiefs: QB Mike White (3rd QB) OL Ryan Van Demark OL Sedrick Van Pran-Granger DT Quinton Jefferson DT DeWayne Carter S Taylor Rapp KR/PR Brandon Codrington

Have I mentioned how much I like Khalil Shakir? Damn good football player.

What a play by Matt Milano to single-handedly end that drive. As good as a turnover.

6. I think Cole Bishop will be on the field for 100% of snaps unless he gets injured.
@GrahamCasts: @JoeBuscaglia How do you think they shuffle playtime to cover for Rapp's injury?

Xavier Worthy (17.26 mph top speed) beat Damar Hamlin (16.14 mph) to the pylon for the @Chiefs touchdown.
The Bills have played man coverage on 46.2% of dropbacks so far tonight, the unit's highest rate in a game since Week 12, 2022 (53.8%).
@NFLPlus: Xavier Worthy dives in for the TD
📺: #BUFvsKC on CBS
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus and Paramount+
https://t.co/opuzb9f7ZJ

13. The fifth-most snaps of the WRs, but probably a couple of manufactured targets.
@MMADRAFTKINGGOD: @JoeBuscaglia How big of a role will Curtis Samuel have today #AskJoeB

2. Same as usual. 1T DaQuan Jones & Austin Johnson, 3T Ed Oliver & Jordan Phillips. Jefferson really only had a handful of snaps the last two games. Really didn't do anything on special teams, so having the insurance at CB against a good WR group is worth more in this game.
@johnlhoo: @JoeBuscaglia With Jefferson and Carter inactive what do you think the DT rotation will be?

17. Alec Anderson, most likely.
@isellmillerbeer: @JoeBuscaglia who is Bills backup center today?

Brandon Beane was fearless at the top of the draft. Keon Coleman was the pick — not Xavier Worthy — and, now, the 2024 Buffalo Bills need to follow their general manager's lead in this cutthroat AFC. https://t.co/0bqP0mw1bH TyDunne: Feel like this Xavier Worthy v Keon Coleman subplot flew beneath the radar all week. Loved that the Bills GM was unafraid of the Chiefs while navigating the board. Both receivers could play major factors today. Chiefs have really started to plot routes for their rookie.

“EVERYBODY EATS” Bills offensive mantra under OC Joe Brady has made offense elite without a No.1 WR and allowed Josh Allen to play more free. No one defines it more than Amari Cooper's selflessness. For @nflnetwork @NFLGameDay: pic.x.com/1CQS68CJZ6

Unless the Bills do something, it's safe to say that Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes will continue to press their thumb into the Kaiir Elam scab.

The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off in an epic AFC Championship Game showdown this evening. With the Chiefs in hot pursuit of a third consecutive Super Bowl victory, it will take every ounce of the Bills’ might to stop them.
One of Buffalo’s starting safeties, Taylor Rapp, was listed on the Bills’ injury report this week.
Will Rapp be available to help slow down Kansas City’s offense?
Rapp was carted off the field during Buffalo’s divisional-round matchup against the Baltimore Ravens last week. Fortunately, he did not suffer any broken bones, but his injury kept him from practicing this week

Penalties during Chiefs' eight-game win streak in playoffs, via @PaulHembo:
Roughing the passer:
Chiefs (0)
Opponents (6)
Unnecessary roughness:
Chiefs (1)
Opponents (4)
@AdamSchefter: For all those complaining that Patrick Mahomes gets too many calls, relief soon could be on the way.
NFL replay assist is expected to expand this offseason into plays that could include the quarterback slide, league sources told ESPN.
https://t.co/4w3haqOW7i

Even though this ball CLEARLY hit the ground and neither player had complete possession the refs rule that this was a catch by Xavier Worthy. The Chiefs 🤝 The Refs pic.x.com/hDMOoLq6xt

DeAndre Hopkins has waited his whole career to get to a Super Bowl. He's now there. pic.x.com/n20GKS5XvW

As Travis Kelce was walking out of the locker room I told him he's a hell of a lead blocker (he led the way for Mahomes to score his second TD). Kelce responded: "You know I'll do anything to help this team win. You know that." Kelce was targeted just 4 times and had 2 catches for 19 yards.

I asked George Karlaftis, with head coach hiring cycles each year, "do you guys in your room ever say, I don't know why no one is hiring Steve Spagnuolo?" While laughing, "YEAH! YEAH! I mean actually ... Stay the F*ck away from Spags. Stay away because we want him."

Brett Veach on Kareem Hunt: “I'm so excited for him. … The kid has grown & learned & is grateful to be here. We're grateful he's here. I'm so happy for him & he's been so critical to our success. Hopefully we'll have continued success with him.”

Trent McDuffie is a X Factor today. pic.x.com/rndoQk6A2j

he might be the best overall defensive playoff performer of this century
@Nate_Tice: Chris Jones was blocked one-on-one 11 times in the 1st half and had 7 QB pressures, per @NextGenStats.

That was the longest punt return of Nikko Remigio's young career.

Inside linebacker/ edge tweeners are so hot right now. So much you can do schematically with them Micah Parsons Frankie Luve Leo Chenal

Yes, that's the expectation.
Joe Thuney & Mike Caliendo were also the starters in the pregame drills.
@DC81656: @ByNateTaylor, is jaylen Watson starting?

Very interesting that Nazeeh Johnson started the game, but Jaylen Watson is on the field for the Bills' 2nd drive.

Justin Reid was able to jog off the field on his own.

That's the 1st little wrinkle from Steve Spagnuolo, who technically dropped 8 & had Nick Bolton play the spy.

19. I'll set it at 1.5.
@DerekAccurso: @JoeBuscaglia Over/Under penalties on Jawaan Taylor today.

The Kansas City Chiefs’ offense wasted no time getting itself in gear against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game this evening.
After a quick three-and-out by the Bills to start the game, quarterback Patrick Mahomes marched the Chiefs down the field with ease, using play action to get his receivers open in space.
Kansas City’s offense opened their drive with big gains by wide receivers Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster before veteran running back Kareem Hunt stole the show with a rushing touchdown that gave the Chiefs an early lead