Week 11 Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart Watch: Target T.J. Hockenson, Buy Low on Anthony Richardson and Marvin Harrison Jr. and Trade DeVonta Smith Away?

It’s time to continue our FantasySP Trade Value Chart watch series!

The Trade Value Chart is used in the FSP Trade Analyzer and many other tools here. By checking out the biggest movers each week, you can know when to buy/sell a fantasy player. Here’s last week’s story. Let’s get into it!

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Try to Acquire T.J. Hockenson?

Hockenson returned to the field in week 9 and put up pedestrian numbers. Many fantasy owners were wondering if he’d be able to be the player he was pre-injury, but he certainly looked like that guy in week 10.

Hockenson had 27 yards on three catches and four targets in week 9 before erupting for 72 yards on eight grabs and nine targets this past week. He played 33 snaps in his first game back and then 39 snaps last week - that equates to 45 and 46% of the team’s total.

So even though he’s not playing nearly every offensive snap, Hockenson is capable of big fantasy outings. In time, I’d expect his snap total and percentage to keep rising, which will only improve his fantasy outlook.

The Vikings’ offense has Justin Jefferson, but no other pass catcher has consistently stepped up this season. Jalen Nailor did some nice things early in the season, and Jordan Addison has also had some nice outings, but outside Jefferson, there’s been very little consistency. Even Hockenson outperformed Jefferson in week 10, showing he could immediately become one of the top fantasy TEs in the game again.

Hockenson got a 4.2-point boost on his player rating, and that has him as a top-100 trade target already. Another strong game should vault the tight end way up again. The only real concerns right now are the snap count percentages and a chance for reinjury, and Hockenson can alleviate those problems with each passing game and more good showings.

He’s got some favorable matchups ahead of him too, so there’s a ton of optimism surrounding Hockenson. I’m all for taking a swing on the Vikings’ tight end, even if it costs more than what the trade chart suggests. If your fantasy team is set aside from tight end, make trading for Hockenson a focus, and get the deal done before he delivers any more big showings.

Buy Low on Anthony Richardson and Marvin Harrison?

Richardson got a boost to his player rating because he was named the Colts starting quarterback again. Harrison had a solid showing in week 10, but hasn’t lived up to his lofty expectations to this point.

Across six games, Richardson has 958 passing yards, four touchdowns and seven interceptions on just 44.4% passing. He’s added 242 rushing yards and a score on the ground.

He’s reached double figures for fantasy points in three of his starts, but only has scored over 12 points once - a week 1 three-touchdown performance. After six picks across the first three games, Richardson had just one across his final three games and 60 passing attempts.

Richardson was viewed as one of the better fantasy quarterbacks coming into the season, but right now, he’s ranked 25th among the quarterbacks on the trade chart. If there ever was a time to buy low on a player, now is that time.

Richardson has a tough matchup this week, and more coming down the line, so his fantasy outlook isn’t looking too great. The Colts’ offense has enough playmakers to help Richardson be at least an average option, and if things start to click, he absolutely could be one of the better fantasy options in the game.

A lot of you can probably just add Richardson off the waiver wire if you are interested in stashing him for a bit, but for those of you in deeper leagues and two-QB setups, a trade might be needed to land the young QB.

In a redraft setup, it shouldn’t cost you much to land Richardson - maybe a depth player gets the job done. I’d be targeting Richardson if you are already pretty set at QB, but wouldn’t mind taking a swing on a player with more potential. I wouldn’t want to bank on Richardson being a fantasy starter the rest of the season, but more so being a lottery ticket to maybe help you down the stretch here and there.

If that sounds like your fantasy team, why not target the young, but raw, Richardson?

Harrison has 499 yards and six touchdowns on 33 catches and 60 targets this season. His touchdown production is propping him up as a fantasy player, but he’s getting enough targets to expect more out of him in the latter stretch of the fantasy season.

He’s been targeted at least five times in each of the past four games. He’s caught a touchdown in two of those contests, but has finished under 55 yards in three of them.

Harrison was one of the more sought-after fantasy wideouts even before he played a single snap. He was a high draft pick, but currently ranks outside the top 50 on the trade chart - he’s the 22nd-ranked receiver.

I like how Harrison has been trending over the past month, and think more big things are in store for him. He’s got a somewhat favorable schedule ahead, and hopefully will continue to improve as he gets familiarized with the NFL.

His trade value isn’t crazy high, and you might be able to deal from another position of depth to get Harrison on your team. I love the idea of that and would at least see what the asking price is for him.

Time to Deal DeVonta Smith Away?

Smith has his second-straight poor showing on Thursday night. He’s got just 43 yards on six catches and nine targets the past two games.

Across nine games this season, Smith has 516 yards and four touchdowns on 41 grabs and 56 targets. It’s his lowest yards per game mark since his rookie season, although he’s still on pace to reach seven touchdowns, which is what he’s had the past two seasons.

Still, Smith has been a bit frustrating to roster for fantasy teams. He’s been kind of a boom-or-bust guy, with double-digit point totals in six games, but just 10 points in the other four outings combined.

Smith is the second receiving option to A.J. Brown, and with Saquon Barkley now in time, there’s less touches overall for Smith. Having a healthy Dallas Goedert around also doesn’t help Smith.

He’s got a pretty similar schedule to Harrison ahead, but he also isn’t his team’s top option, so this is a different situation to assess.

I’d be more inclined to trade Smith away than try to buy low on him. He still has enough big showings this season to be a desirable trade asset, and he should net you a pretty solid player in return. 

Maybe you target another receiver instead, like a Harrison or Courtland Sutton. Maybe you are already set at receiver and can move Smith for a running back, tight end or quarterback. Whatever the case is, I’d at least throw Smith’s name on the trade block to see what offers float in.

Happy trading, and best of luck in week 11!