Week 13 RB Player Prop Bets: Breece Hall, Zack Moss and Alvin Kamara
Discussing some player prob bets for running backs for week 13 of the NFL season.
Week 13 of the NFL season is already underway, but a great slate of Sunday games lies ahead still.
Maybe your fantasy football season hasn’t gone as planned and you are looking to get some more enjoyment out of the season. Let’s take a look at some running backs inside the FantasySP Player Prop Bet Rankings page and place some bets.
A note before we get started: anytime I mention a player’s record in a particular stat, I am using Draftkings as the operator. The operator is a category that can be changed on the prop bet rankings page.
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Breece Hall Prop Bets
New York Jets’ Breece Hall has the best over/under mark of 9-1 on his receiving yard lines, so he’s first up.
It’s been a pitiful season for the Jets’ offense, but Hall has been pretty solid all season. He’s up to 569 rushing yards and two scores on 124 attempts. He’s made up for the lack of rushing touchdowns with two scores as a pass catcher. Hall has caught 38-of-49 targets for 320 yards.
Hall and the Jets have a week 13 game against the Atlanta Falcons. That sets up as a tough matchup for Hall, as Atlanta’s defense allows an average of 81.8 rushing yards on 21.2 carries. RBs have not scored on the ground. Opposing backs are also averaging 3.6 catches on 4.5 targets for 28.6 yards per contest, with three scores. That all adds up to 16 fantasy points allowed.
Receiving Yards Prop. Hall’s receiving yards line is 27.5 for week 13. Hall has reached 28 yards in four games this season, including in three of the last five contests. This might not turn into a game where the Jets’ offense needs to pass a lot, but seeing Hall’s 9-1 mark for this statistic and the Falcons’ averages, this seems like a pretty safe bet. Verdict: Over 272.5 yards.
Rushing Yards Prop. Hall’s rushing line for week 12 is 52.5 yards. Hall has gotten to 53 yards three times this season, but hasn’t hit 50 yards since early November. Hall is just 3-8 in this statistic for the season. As mentioned before though, I like the Jets to keep this game closer, which should afford Hall more rushing attempts. Seeing as he doesn’t split much work with Dalvin Cook, I think Hall can hit the over here. Verdict: Over 52.5 yards.
Rushing Attempts Prop. Attempts are a tricky thing to predict, but Hall’s rushing attempts line is just 13.5 this week. He’s topped that number twice this season, but this appears to be a better matchup to allow the Jets to run the ball a bunch. Hall is 4-6 for this statistic on the season, but I still am confident in the over here. Verdict: Over 13.5 attempts.
Zack Moss Prop Bets
Zack Moss will be the lead back for the Indianapolis Colts again after the thumb injury to Jonathan Taylor. Moss was the starter for a few games early in the season, and performed quite well. He still ranks well in many rushing statistics despite being a backup for the past several weeks.
Moss and the Colts have a week 13 clash with the Tennessee Titans. The Titans allow an average of 23.4 attempts, 88.1 yards and 0.6 rushing scores. Tennessee also allows averages of 3.1 catches, 4.2 targets, 27.6 yards and 0.2 receiving scores per game. All that added up is 19 fantasy points per week.
Rushing Yards Prop. Moss has an average rushing yards line of 77.5 yards for week 13. Moss has topped that number three times this season, including against the Titans. He rushed for 165 yards and two touchdowns on 23 attempts that game, while adding two receptions and 30 receiving yards. Moss, who is 5-3 in this statistic this season, will be the workhorse this week, and I like him to go over in this player prop. Verdict: Over 77.5 rushing yards.
Receiving Yards Prop. Moss’ receiving yards line for this week is 18.5. Moss, who is 2-2 in this statistic this season, has topped 18.5 yards in four games, including the game against the Titans. Seeing as the Titans allow over that average, and knowing Moss should get almost all the RB work, I like the over here too. Verdict: Over 18.5 receiving yards.
Alvin Kamara Prop Bets
Kamara has been really good for the New Orleans Saints since returning from his three-game suspension to start the season. He has 173 touches across eight games - that’s an average of 21.6 touches per game.
The Saints play the Detroit Lions in week 13. That’s a tough matchup for Kamara, as the Lions’ defense allows an average of 61.6 rushing yards on 17.7 carries and 31.9 receiving yards on 3.3 catches and 4.9 targets to opposing backs. All six touchdowns from backs have come on the ground. RBs average only 16 fantasy points per week.
Rushing Yards Prop. Kamara’s rushing yards line for week 13 is 52.5. Kamara has topped that mark in five of his eight games this season, but has only reached it once over the past three contests. For the season, Kamara is 5-3 in this statistic. New Orleans’ pass catchers are banged up, so even though this is a tough matchup, I like Kamara to be heavily utilized, both in the running game and through the air. Verdict: Over 52.5 rushing yards.