Dominate Fantasy - Sync your team
NFL
DET
SF
o50.5
+3.5
8:15PM • PREVIEW
MIA
CLE
o40
+6.5
4:05PM • PREVIEW
DAL
PHI
o41
-9
1:00PM • PREVIEW
NYJ
BUF
o47
-8.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW
TEN
JAX
o39.5
-1
1:00PM • PREVIEW
GB
MIN
o48.5
0
4:25PM • PREVIEW
LV
NO
o37.5
+1
1:00PM • PREVIEW
CAR
TB
o48.5
-8
1:00PM • PREVIEW
SEA
CHI
o42.5
+4
8:15PM • PREVIEW
BAL
HOU
31
2
KC
PIT
29
10
DEN
CIN
o49.5
-3.5
4:30PM • PREVIEW
ARI
LAR
o47.5
-7
8:00PM • PREVIEW
LAC
NE
o42.5
+4.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW
IND
NYG
o40.5
+7.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW
ATL
WAS
o47.5
-4
8:20PM • PREVIEW

Fantasy Football Quarterback Start/Sit Week 16: Should You Start Baker Mayfield, Russell Wilson, or Kyler Murray?

A look at each quarterback's fantasy prospects for Week 16

Nick Roberts Dec 22nd 10:02 AM EST.

ATLANTA, GA – DECEMBER 10:  Tampa Bay quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) throws a pass during the NFL game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons on December 10th, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA.  (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)
ATLANTA, GA – DECEMBER 10: Tampa Bay quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) throws a pass during the NFL game between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Atlanta Falcons on December 10th, 2023 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)

Welcome to Week 16. Sam Howell and Jordan Love are top-10 fantasy quarterbacks. Justin Fields is closer to Mac Jones on a points per game basis than he is to Josh Allen. And Brock Purdy has been a better fantasy quarterback than everyone except Allen, Jalen Hurts, and Dak Prescott. Exactly how we all drew it up!

All that to say, we've got our work cut out for us as we try to figure out what to do with our start/sit decisions moving forward. You're obviously not benching any of those guys (more on that below), but there are plenty of other borderline fantasy starters we need to sift through. 

I'm going to use the list below to cover every quarterback start/sit situation for Week 16. The list is broken into tiers (which as pretty self-explanatory based on the names of them), and you can simply look at the list and make start/sit decisions -- because it's in order of preference! Think of it as my weekly quarterback rankings.

This week is EXTRA important since we're in the midst of the fantasy playoffs. No pressure!

Sync your league with the Fantasy Assistant to get rankings, waiver help with predictive analytics, trade suggestions, optimal lineups, and more. Not sure Who You Should Start? We can help. Utilize our fantasy football trade analyzer for trades.

No-Brainer Start 'Em

You drafted these guys as your starter. There's no reason to waffle on them based on matchups or anything like that. We don't even need to talk things through on any of these guys -- let's stop over-thinking things. Here's the order in which I'd start them this week: 

  • Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills

    • Allen leads all NFL players in fantasy points on the year and should be able to feast on an awful Chargers defense. 
  • Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles

    • The Eagles have been off lately (and the Giants aren't an easy matchup), but I still think Hurts is a top play this week. 
  • Justin Fields, Chicago Bears

    • Fields has been much better (at least for fantasy purposes) as of late and has a great matchup against the Cardinals. 
  • Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

    • Dak was off last week, but he'll likely be throwing a lot against the Dolphins...and that's great news for his fantasy prospects. 
  • Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

    • Mahomes finally showed signs of his old self last week and should be able to put up huge numbers against the Raiders. 
  • Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens

    • Lamar has come on strong lately. I'd have him higher if it weren't for the tough matchup against the 49ers. Either way, he's a must-start. 
  • Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers

    • I'm done doubting Purdy. Set it and forget it despite the tough matchup.

Still Start 'Em

These guys are a little more of a borderline decision, but they're worth starting this week. Here's the order in which I'd start them this week:  

  • Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins

    • I don't love the Cowboys matchup for Tua. And Tyreek Hill is still dealing with an injury. But I think you have to lock him in unless you have someone in the category above. 
  • Jared Goff, Detroit Lions

    • While Goff has been a bit mercurial this year, I like his matchup against the Vikings this week. 
  • Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    • Mayfield went off last week and should be able to continue his hot streak against a Jaguars defense that has looked off as of late. 
  • Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers

    • Love has a tough matchup against a good Panthers defense, but he's been able to put up numbers all year so I think he's relatively safe. 
  • Kyler Murray, Arizona Cardinals

    • Murray is still a solid low-end QB1 this week, but the Bears aren't as easy of a matchup as they were earlier this season. 
  • Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

    • The Patriots defense has been solid all year, but Russ should be able to put up low-end QB1 numbers at home on Christmas Eve. 
  • Jake Browning, Cincinnati Bengals

    • Browning has been a revelation for the Bengals and should be able to take advantage of a deteriorating Steelers defense. 

Deep League Starts

These guys are basically "sits" in a 12-team league. But they're likely someone you should start in a superflex league or a 16-team league. Here's the order in which I'd start them this week:

  • Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars

    • Lawrence could be a low-end QB1 if he plays against the Bucs, but that's a big IF currently as he hasn't practiced all week. If he doesn't play, C.J. Beathard is a solid deeper league start. 
  • Nick Mullens, Minnesota Vikings

    • Mullens looked incompentent at times last week, but he still put up fantasy points. The Lions defense can be thrown upon, and Mullens has the weapons to do so if you need a deep league start. 
  • Geno Smith, Seattle Seahawks

    • It looks like Smith is starting this week, but I'd hold off on starting him on the road against a decent Titans defense. 
  • Joe Flacco, Cleveland Browns

    • Flacco has been surprisingly good so far and should be able to put up numbers against the Texans. That said, I have him this low because I can't bring myself to start Joe Flacco in the fantasy playoffs. 
  • Gardner Minshew, Indianapolis Colts

    • While Minshew has also been surprisingly good, I don't love the matchup against a Falcons defense that is better than you'd think. 
  • Sam Howell, Washington Commanders

    • Howell is coming off an awful game and has a tough matchup against the Jets. Avoid. 

Sit 'Em

These guys are "sits" in pretty much any league except a superflex. Here's the order in which I'd start them this week if you absolutely have to:

  • Bailey Zappe, New England Patriots 

    • Zappe has looked amazing in the first half of each of the last two games he's played. The second halves, however, have been a different story. He's a desperation play only. 
  • Tommy DeVito, New York Giants

    • While the wheels have fallen off a bit for Tommy Cutlets, he might be able to put up numbers against a struggling Eagles defense if you're desperate. 
  • Ryan Tannehill, Tennessee Titans

    • The matchup isn't horrible, but are you really starting Ryan Tannehill in your fantasy playoffs? Me neither. 
  • Taylor Heinicke, Atlanta Falcons

    • While he has good weapons and a decent matchup, we're still talking about Taylor Heinicke. Keep him on your bench. 
  • Aiden O'Connell, Las Vegas Raiders

    • O'Connell had a monster game last week, but it came against a bad Chargers defense. The Chiefs won't be so kind. 
  • Easton Stick, Los Angeles Chargers

    • While Stick put up garbage time numbers last week, I don't think we can bank on that happening again against the Bills. 
  • Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers

    • Young led the team to a win last week, but he just isn't putting up enough fantasy numbers to be worth considering. 
  • Case Keenum, Houston Texans

    • Keenum isn't awful, but I don't want any part of him against the Browns. 
  • Mason Rudolph, Pittsburgh Steelers

    • Do yourself a favor and don't even think about starting Mason Rudolph. 
  • Trevor Siemian, New York Jets

    • The Jets offense is just inept. Don't start Siemian. 

Fantasy SP has worked diligently to bring you next-level sports betting analytics, prop betting tools, public betting splits, and so much more! Become an Edge+ member today! 

#startsit #fantasy-football #nfl #quarterback #qb #week-16 #start #sit

More From FantasySP

Latest from FSP

Waiver Trends

More Trends
Dolphins DST MIA DST +5.7
Chig Okonkwo TEN TE +3.7
Justin Tucker BAL K +2.6
Bo Nix DEN QB +2.5
Chargers DST LAC DST +2.4
Colts DST IND DST +2.3
Tyjae Spears TEN RB +2.3
Jared Goff DET QB +2.2
Alexander Mattison LV RB +2.1
Bryce Young CAR QB +2.0
Tank Bigsby JAC RB +1.7
Seahawks DST SEA DST +1.7
Anthony Richardson IND QB +1.7
Marquez Valdes-Scantling NO WR +1.6
Jalen McMillan TB WR +1.6
Falcons DST ATL DST -3.1
Patrick Taylor SF RB -2.8
Packers DST GB DST -2.5
Bengals DST CIN DST -2.3
Cardinals DST ARI DST -1.8
Tyrone Tracy NYG RB -1.7
Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB -1.6
Tank Dell HOU WR -1.5
Kenneth Walker SEA RB -1.5
Marvin Harrison ARI WR -1.4
Michael Pittman IND WR -1.4
Broncos DST DEN DST -1.1
49ers DST SF DST -1.1
Jake Ferguson DAL TE -1.1
Brian Thomas JAC WR -0.9

Player News