Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook for Bears | Are Justin Fields, Roschon Johnson, D.J. Moore, Cole Kmet and Others Long-Term Assets?
Discussing the Chicago Bears offensive players from a dynasty fantasy football perspective.
The fantasy football season has come to an end, but that doesn’t mean dynasty owners have stopped assessing their teams. The best dynasty owners out there are always thinking about the future of their team and how to improve.
Today, we’ll address some offensive players from the Chicago Bears and determine how to approach those players.
Quarterback Outlook
The big question surrounding the organization this offseason is what will happen at the quarterback position.
Justin Fields was looked to as the franchise quarterback, but he hasn’t played well enough to lock himself into that role. The team could instead decide to use the No. 1 pick in the draft to get Caleb Williams.
I think Fields has done enough to at least get a shot with another team for the upcoming season, so I don’t think Fields’ dynasty outlook is shot if the Bears decide to replace him.
Fields capped this season with 2,562 passing yards, 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions across 13 games. He cleaned up his interception numbers in the second half of the season after returning from a four-week injury.
A big part of Fields’ game is using his legs, and he had 657 rushing yards and four rushing scores this season. It was a far cry from the 1,143 rushing yards and eight scores he had across 15 games last season.
I personally think he just needs some better weapons and pieces around him in order to be a quality starting quarterback, and he should get that next season. He’ll either get it in Chicago, because the team will use its early picks to draft some help, or Fields will go to another team with more offensive weapons already in place.
Running Back Outlook
The running back spot is also up in the air.
D’Onta Foreman is set to become a free agent. He finished the season with 425 rushing yards and four scores on 109 attempts, adding 77 receiving yards and a score on 11 receptions and 16 targets.
Foreman is going to be 28 years old by the time next season starts. With the Bears being in a rebuilding phase, with some good draft capital and cap space, I have a hard time believing Foreman will be back in the mix next season. He’d be blocking the path to playing time for younger players, which he did for a portion of this season.
Khalil Herbert was supposed to be the Bears’ clear No. 1 option this season, but missed time with an injury and then didn’t even serve as the lead back for a few games despite being at full health. He finished the year with 611 rushing yards and two scores, while adding 134 yards and a touchdown on 20 catches and 31 targets.
He’s signed through the 2024 season, but he might not be the top option going into next season if the Bears select a back early in the draft. He’s still shown some promising things in the league, so he should latch on with some team if the Bears don’t want him.
Rookie Roschon Johnson showed some flashes of promise in his first season. He ended the season with 352 rushing yards and two scores, while going for 209 receiving yards on 34 catches and 40 targets.
Johnson would benefit most from the Bears not bringing in another back in free agency or the draft, but that just doesn’t seem likely to me.
Pass Catchers Outlook
The team’s pass catchers could use a fresh wave of talent.
Wide receiver D.J. Moore was a great pickup. He finished the year with 1,364 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 96 catches and 136 targets.
Moore is tied to Chicago for the next couple seasons. He could benefit from a guy like Marvin Harrison being drafted, as it would likely open up some things on his side of the field.
Darnell Mooney was the only other wideout with over 200 receiving yards. He finished with 414 yards and one score on 31 receptions and 60 targets.
Mooney is a free agent this offseason.
Tight end Cole Kmet was the only other somewhat reliable receiving threat on the team. He went for 719 yards and six scores this season on 73 grabs and 91 targets.
Kmet is locked in with Chicago through 2027 (barring a trade or release). He should remain a focal point in the passing game, and like Moore, would benefit from the team adding more pass catchers to the team.
How to Proceed
There’s quite a bit of uncertainty in Chicago, but there’s a few at least solid dynasty options in Chicago.
Moore is the top dynasty piece and should remain one of the better fantasy wideouts as long as the team has a somewhat decent quarterback behind center. He’s going to be 27 when next season is played, so he’s a few tiers below the top wideout tier.
Some dynasty owners might try to sell high on Moore this offseason, and I’d probably try to do the same, especially if you aren’t in a contending window.
Johnson is another player I like, but his future isn’t super clear at this point. I don’t think the Bears will go into next season with him and Herbert as the top options.
With that thought in mind, I probably wouldn’t target Johnson, unless he’s added to a larger deal. You could sell Johnson now, but you might then lose a ton of value if he ends up being the team’s lead back going into next year. I’d try to simply hold on to him for now, and reassess things when training camp hits.
I’m in the same boat with Herbert. I’ve liked what I’ve seen from him at times, but am not super comfortable about his future. I’d be more willing to trade him away than Johnson.
Kmet is a bit of a sleeper in my eyes. He’s put up solid numbers in back-to-back seasons, but is still pretty cheap in trade talks because he hasn’t been all that consistent.
I’d definitely consider acquiring him, especially seeing he’s still only 24 years old. He shouldn’t cost a lot, and can provide you with pretty solid production moving forward.
Mooney isn’t a guy on too many dynasty owner’s minds. The right situation could help him turn his career around after going for over 1,000 yards in his second NFL season.
Let’s discuss Fields to wrap things up. He’s been a decent fantasy quarterback when he’s been able to limit his turnovers and run a round a bit.
I’d definitely like his outlook more if he stays in Chicago and gets some help around him. Going to a new team wouldn’t necessarily be bad, but then he could have to learn a whole new offense, and could be forced into a backup role if he struggles with a new team.
If the Bears move on from Fields and draft Williams or Drake Maye, I’m not going to be as high on those guys unless the team uses its other picks and free agency money to get some more offensive help. Clearly there wasn’t enough talent on the offense this season, and I’m not sure a rookie QB could immediately step in and fix all the offensive woes.