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Can Dalton Kincaid Get Rolling as Bills face Dolphins in Week 2?

Taking a look at the Bills best fantasy starting options for week 2.

Morgan Rode Sep 11th 12:41 PM EDT.

Sep 8, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills running back James Cook (4) runs against Arizona Cardinals safety Budda Baker (3) in the second quarter at Highmark Stadium. Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images
Sep 8, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills running back James Cook (4) runs against Arizona Cardinals safety Budda Baker (3) in the second quarter at Highmark Stadium. Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

Week 2 of the NFL regular season kicks off with a fun matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins.

Let’s take a look at the best fantasy football starting options for each team, beginning with the Bills.

Looking for start/sit help? Be sure to check out the FantasySP Who Should I Start tool.

Josh Allen Fantasy Outlook

Allen got his season off to a strong start in week 1. He completed 18 of his 23 passes for 232 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Allen added 39 yards and two scores on nine rushing attempts. He did lose a fumble.

The Dolphins held the Jaguars' passing attack in check in week 1. The unit allowed Trevor Lawrence to complete 12 of his 21 passes for 162 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. The Dolphins sacked him three times and only allowed eight rushing yards on a carry.

Allen was dealing with a left hand injury early in the week, but was cleared and will play on Thursday. He should have his entire offense around him.

Allen is tied with Lamar Jackson for the most-projected fantasy points among quarterbacks in week 2.

Running Back Fantasy Outlook

James Cook dominated the touches in the Buffalo backfield in week 1, getting 22 of the 28 touches.

He played 38 snaps, rushed for 71 yards on 19 attempts and caught all three of his targets for an additional 32 yards. Cook is a good fantasy option most weeks, but would be an even better option if Allen didn’t steal a ton of rushing touchdowns.

Ray Davis got four touches across six snaps in week 1. He rushed three times for 13 yards and added a 14-yard reception. Ty Johnson played 14 snaps, getting two touches - two rushes for seven yards.

Miami’s defense allowed 117 rushing yards and a score to RBs in week 1. They allowed 15 receiving yards on two catches.

Cook is projected for 12 PPR fantasy points, while Davis is at four points.

Wide Receiver Fantasy Outlook

Rookie Keon Coleman led Buffalo wideouts with 45 snaps played in week 1. Mack Hollins (36), Khalil Shakir (33), Curtis Samuel (17) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (13) also played.

Coleman had four catches on five targets, going for 51 yards. Hollins caught both of his targets for 25 yards and a score. Shakir had the other score - he went for 42 yards on three catches and targets.

Samuel hauled in both of his targets for 15 yards. MVS had a 19-yard catch on two targets.

Coleman had two of the team’s five red zone targets and was the only one with multiple targets.

Miami’s defense allowed receivers to catch nine of 12 passes in week 1. The wideouts went for 142 yards and a touchdown.

Shakir and Coleman are both projected for 10 PPR fantasy points, while Samuel is at six points.

Sep 8, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman (0) celebrates after making a catch in the third quarter against the Arizona Cardinals at Highmark Stadium. Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images
Sep 8, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Buffalo Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman (0) celebrates after making a catch in the third quarter against the Arizona Cardinals at Highmark Stadium. Credit: Mark Konezny-Imagn Images

Tight End Fantasy Outlook

Dalton Kincaid played 52 snaps in week 1, while Dawson Knox was at 36 snaps. Quintin Morris logged six snaps.

Kincaid only had two targets all game, making one catch for 11 yards. He was targeted once in the red zone.

Knox had a catch on two targets as well, going for 23 yards. Morris was not targeted.

Miami’s defense was stifling against tight ends in week 1, allowing one catch on four targets for five yards.

As a result, Kincaid, who is considered one of the better fantasy TEs, is projected for 11 PPR points. Knox isn’t part of the top 25.

Kicker and Defense Outlook

Buffalo kicker Tyler Bass had a great showing in week 1, making four extra points and two field goals. Bass’ field goals were from 37 and 39 yards.

Miami’s defense forced the Jaguars into one field goal try in week 1.

Bass is projected for eight fantasy points this week.

Buffalo’s defense has a stiff test ahead, but won’t have to face Raheem Mostert and maybe De'Von Achane as the running backs deal with injuries.

Miami went for 400 total yards in week 1, with 338 passing yards and 81 on the ground. The Dolphins were sacked three times. Buffalo allowed the Cardinals to go for just 270 yards in the opener - 124 on the ground and 162 through the air. Buffalo had a takeaway and two sacks.

The Bills’ defense is projected for just five fantasy points this week, one of the worst marks in the league.

Who to Start in Week 1

This matchup is fun in my eyes, and I could see the game being a shootout or a defensive battle. I’ll say it lands somewhere in the middle, with Buffalo prevailing 27-24. Check out more odds and bettings details here.

There’s some interesting start/sit options on the Bills’ roster this week.

Of course, Allen needs to be starting. He’s a must-start fantasy player and can at least put up average numbers because he’s a dual-threat quarterback. I see him enjoying a big night on Thursday, and he could definitely contend for fantasy QB1 this week.

I also like the idea of starting Cook this week. Miami struggled a bit against RBs in week 1, and Cook handles enough of the workload to reach a solid fantasy point total, even if he can’t find the end zone again. His lack of scoring is really the only thing that keeps Cook off the must-start line.

I don’t see Davis or Johnson doing much this week, unless Cook were to leave with an injury. Davis and Johnson are only starting options in the deepest of leagues, and I just don’t see either being all that valuable this week. I do like Davis over Johnson if the Bills make Cook a surprise inactive (yes, I’m looking at you San Fran).

As far as the receivers go, this is where things are the toughest.

I’d trust the snap counts from week 1, meaning I like Coleman the best of the bunch. Coleman is a weak flex starting option (don’t use your flex spot until the Sunday/Monday games) in standard leagues though and really should only be heavily considered in deeper leagues. I’d definitely take a chance starting him in a deeper league if you are lacking for quality starting options.

I like Shakir and his big-play ability over Hollins, even though the latter played more snaps in week 1. Again, both are only starting options in deeper leagues at this point. They might need to score again to put up decent fantasy totals, so I wouldn’t be all that confident in either player. Only start them if you absolutely have to.

Samuel and Valdes-Scantling are receivers you can skip in all formats (unless you are in the deepest fantasy league ever created). It’d take a big play for either to produce a decent fantasy score, and that’s a lot to ask out of players who might not reach 20 snaps.

I know Kincaid struggled in week 1 and that the matchup this week doesn’t look great, but I still have no issue starting him. The fantasy TE position is weak and you spent an earlyish pick on Kincaid - utilize him and hope he bounces back. He could be the team’s top pass catcher, and that alone is enough to start him.

Knox is a deep league starting option, but one I would not trust that much. Until he produces a couple average outings in a row, I’m not confident enough in Knox.

With my projected final score, I see Bass getting a couple field attempts on top of his extra points. He’s proven to be a solid fantasy option and I have no issues playing him in week 2.

I don’t like the Bills’ defense this week. The Miami offense is never one to target with a D/ST, and even minus a couple players, could go off. I’d avoid the Bills D/ST this week if I could.

#2024-fantasy-football #start-sit-decision

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