Fantasy Football Trade Advice Week 2: Should You Trade Michael Pittman Jr., J.K. Dobbins, D.J. Moore?
Ted takes a look at what to do with three of the hottest fantasy football trade pieces after the first week of games.
There's nothing more fun in fantasy football than making trades. However, it can often be hard to know which players to target and which of your own you can get good value for. That's where FantasySP's tools come in: We can use the FantasySP Fantasy Assistant to find players that have the most Expected Trade Interest (ETI) and then cross-reference with the Trade Value Chart to see how much those players are worth.
With these tools in hand, it’s time to tackle the Week 2 trade market. With one week’s worth of data, it’s important to react correctly to all of the information we suddenly have. Some trends are very important, even in a small sample size; others, not so much. Let’s take a look at the three leaders in ETI for this week and what you should do with them on the trade market.
Best Fantasy Football Trades To Make Week 2
Sell Michael Pittman Jr.
I was surprised to see Pittman at the top of the ETI chart for this week. Normally, players rank highly in ETI after a particularly impactful game, for good or bad, but MPJ’s 2024 debut was relatively unremarkable. He saw a massive 42.1% target share but caught just four of his seven targets for 31 yards.
And that is the reason why I’m recommending moving on from Pittman. As a high-volume receiver who will see most of his targets in the intermediate areas of the field, Pittman could not be a worse fit with Anthony Richardson. Richardson has the ability to create massive plays with his arm talent but is incredibly inaccurate at all levels of the field. He has a 57.3% career completion percentage, which is a massive 8.9% below expectation according to rbsdm’s model.
Pittman, with an 8.6 career ADOT and mediocre 4.5 speed, is not often going to be on the end of Richardson’s deep bombs … but he will have to deal with Richardson’s missed layups. At the end of the day, a 42% share of nine completed passes (how many Richardson had in Week 1) is just four receptions. Of course, Richardson will complete double-digit passes most weeks, but MPJ’s target share will also regress, especially once Josh Downs comes back. If you can sell him as a consistent WR2 thanks to that tantalizing 42% number, do it.
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Buy High On J.K. Dobbins
Coming into the season, there were two main worries with J.K. Dobbins’ fantasy profile. The first was that he would be stuck behind Gus Edwards in the Chargers’ backfield, and the second was that he would be a shell of his former self coming off his second devastating leg injury. Dobbins put both of those problems to rest in Week 1. Although Edwards actually had one more carry, Dobbins outrushed his teammate 135 to 26.
The former Raven (Dobbins, not Edwards) also scored a rushing touchdown and was the clear receiving back in terms of both snaps (11 out of 13 on third down) and usage (an 11.5% target share). He was even the 19th-fastest ballcarrier and tied for the fastest RB in the league in Week 1 thanks to his 61-yard run (although he did get chased down, showing that he isn’t back to full stamina yet).
Given how thoroughly he outperformed Edwards in Week 1, Dobbins’ role should only expand, and we know how badly Jim Harbaugh and Greg Roman want to run the football. Now is the time to trade for Dobbins, before he goes off again against the Panthers. As long as he’s healthy, Dobbins could produce legitimate RB2 numbers for the rest of the season.
Buy Low On D.J. Moore
Let me start by saying this: I’m not recommending you pay Moore’s full draft day price. What we saw from Caleb Williams and the Bears’ offense in their first game was concerning enough that every Bears receiver has to slide down in rest of season rankings. Earlier, I pointed out that Richardson has a terrible -8.9% completion percentage vs. expectation for his career. In his NFL debut, Caleb finished 19.7% below expectation, 4% lower than any other QB in a week full of terrible quarterback play. However, this was just one game. Williams, for all his hype, is a rookie quarterback; he’s allowed to have a bad game.
Meanwhile, Moore saw eight targets, tied for the team lead with a 28% target share. He led the team’s receivers with 31 routes, an 88% route share. Especially with rookie WR Rome Odunze now week to week with a knee injury, his role in this offense is secure.
And we know that Moore has the talent. Last year, while catching passes from Justin Fields, he ranked ninth in the league in PFF Receiving Grade and finished sixth in Half-PPR fantasy points. As Williams improves throughout his rookie season, which he almost certainly will, DJM’s numbers will go up. If you can get him for cheap now from a panicking manager, do it.