Week 7 Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart Watch: Chris Godwin, Mike Evans Flipping Spots? Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb Falling | Time to Sell High on Joe Mixon?
Diving into the FantasySP Fantasy Football Trade Value Chart and determining how to approach players who are moving up or down.
The weekend is here, which means it’s time to continue our FantasySP Trade Value Chart watch series.
The Trade Value Chart is used in the FSP Trade Analyzer and many other tools here. By checking out the biggest movers each week, you can know when to buy/sell a fantasy player. Here’s last week’s story. Let’s get into it!
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Chris Godwin Surging, while Mike Evans Falls
Godwin has moved into the top 15 on the Trade Value Chart after another big showing in week 6. Evans had another silent game, and has fallen to No. 29 overall.
Coming into the season, Evans was viewed as the clear top wideout for the Buccaneers, but that title has been owned by Godwin.
Godwin leads Tampa Bay in targets (53), receptions (43), receiving yards (511) and is tied with Evans with a team-leading five touchdowns. The touchdowns are really the only thing saving Evans from being a pretty average (or worse) fantasy option, as he’s got just 310 yards on 25 catches and 42 targets.
Godwin has scored over 20 fantasy points on three occasions, with 12, 13 and 17 points in the other three games. He’s simply been one of the best fantasy wideouts in the game, and it kind of came out of nowhere.
Evans also has three fantasy outings over 20 points, but the other three are at four, five and seven points. It’a also worrisome that two of his big outings came against really weak pass defenses.
Evans was drafted 34th overall on average, while Godwin was going around pick 75. Evans has stayed around that mark overall, but injuries have really propped him up higher than he deserves to be.
Godwin, on the other hand, might not see his fantasy value ever be higher. That makes Godwin a possible sell high candidate.
The only thing that really causes me to pause before trying to sell Godwin high is that he wasn’t worth a top-end pick, so the unexpected performance has probably really helped your fantasy team this season.
If your fantasy team can survive without Godwin, then that’s when I’d consider moving Godwin to the highest bidder. You could land a top-end fantasy running back, or get a multi-player package that improves your team overall. If you don’t think Godwin can keep up this level of production, then flipping him for a more proven wideout also makes some sense.
As for Evans, trading him away right now is probably not a wise move. Not many fantasy owners are going to pay a big price for Evans, and you might have a hard time dealing him for a player ranked around him.
I’d be all for trying to acquire Evans right now. His price is probably lower than he appears on the trade chart, and I still think Evans has some big games in him this season. He’s been too good over his career to fall off this hard this fast.
Evans is a wideout to target if you are pretty set with your starting lineup, and are instead trying to build up depth at wide receiver, or just looking for a player who could surge in the second half of the season.
I’d try not to put too much stock in him bouncing back to being an elite fantasy wideout and instead hope he’s an average or slightly better fantasy option most weeks.
Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb Slipping
The Lamb, Prescott combo was one of the better fantasy duos in the league coming into the season. Things haven’t looked like they did in the past though, and both players have seen their player ratings and trade values slip as a result.
Prescott has 1,602 passing yards this season, but also has completed just 63.4% of his passes while tossing eight touchdowns to six interceptions. He’s added 25 yards and a touchdown on the ground.
He’s coming off his worst fantasy performance of the season and has been mostly an average fantasy performer, with one standout week in six tries.
Lamb has 467 yards and two touchdowns on 32 receptions and 55 targets.
Most of those numbers look OK, but he falls pretty short when pitting him against the league’s top fantasy wideouts right now. Lamb has just one fantasy outing over 20 points, with another at 19 - he’s been at 15 or less points in three weeks, and that’s simply underperforming for a player who was considered for the No. 1 pick and off the board by pick three in almost every draft.
Lamb has done enough to stick around some of the top fantasy players, but he’s already outside the top 10, and it feels more likely that he continues to fall than return to being a top-five player.
Selling him now doesn’t make much sense, since you aren’t going to get great value in return anymore. I’d hold out hope that he gets things turned around, but if you don’t believe in him, it’d probably be best to sell now, in case his value indeed keeps going down.
I’d be fine trying to trade for Lamb - at least see what the asking price is. Maybe you can package a couple flex-level options for him, or deal a player that’s shined so far, like Godwin.
As for Prescott, he’s gone from a weekly fantasy starter in most formats to just being a starting option. The Cowboys should continue to pass a bunch, and that alone makes Prescott a good fantasy option.
Fantasy trades for quarterbacks are always tricky to navigate, but if you had your top guy get injured, or he severely underperformed, maybe acquiring Prescott would be a positive for your team. It probably just would take a flex-level player, and if you have a position of depth, you could definitely make a trade for Prescott work.
Joe Mixon Returns, is Back on the Rise
Mixon missed a couple games with an injury, but returned in week 6 and put together a huge fantasy performance. The couple things combined meant a big jump in player rating and trade value.
In the two games he played fully in, Mixon scored over 25 points. He has 286 yards and two scores on the ground across 52 carries, while adding 74 receiving yards and a score on eight catches and 11 targets.
Mixon looked like an early-season draft steal after his big week 1 showing, but the injury really bogged him down. If you have enough fantasy backs to get through the season with, selling Mixon high makes a lot of sense.
A lot of fantasy owners are desperate for a fantasy back, and would pay a hefty price to get Mixon on their roster. You could target a top-end fantasy QB, WR or TE, or maybe get a couple flex-level options to make your team more sound overall.
I think Mixon is in store for several more big weeks this season, but the multi-week injury is definitely a concern I have too. So if I had a good stable of running backs, I’d be more than happy to flip Mixon for some other fantasy help.
Check checking back to the Trade Value Chart often, as values can change daily when news and injuries pop up.