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10:10PM • PREVIEW ESPN

JJ Bleday or Paul Goldschmidt

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

LFCincinnati Reds CIN
Paul Goldschmidt

Paul Goldschmidt

1BNew York Yankees NYY
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bleday over Goldschmidt

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday's Power Surge Offsets Average Dip as Reds Head into Tough Matchups

Bleday continues to cement his role as Cincinnati's everyday left fielder, especially with star teammate Elly De La Cruz currently sidelined with a hamstring strain. While his batting average has dipped to .184 over the last 14 days, he remains a key run producer for a fifth-place Reds squad looking to snap a one-game skid. He continues to display excellent pop, launching two home runs over his last six games.

Despite a recent cool-off, Bleday’s overall season numbers, including a .266 average and 12 home runs, represent a massive step forward compared to his career baseline. Our models expect some regression toward his .225 rest-of-season projection, but his improved quality of contact and solid plate discipline suggest he has permanently raised his floor as a solid power source.

The Reds play six games this week, starting at home against a beatable Mets rotation before hitting the road to face a challenging Yankees staff featuring Cam Schlittler and Gerrit Cole. Although the weekend matchups in New York are daunting, Bleday's locked-in playing time and elite power upside make him a viable option. Start him with confidence in medium-to-deep leagues.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News JJ Bleday
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Goldschmidt over Bleday

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Paul Goldschmidt

Resurgent Goldschmidt Anchoring First-Place Yankees Lineup

The division-leading Yankees (43-27) continue to lean heavily on Goldschmidt, who remains locked in as the everyday starter at first base. Over his last 14 days, the veteran has been red-hot, batting .378 with three home runs and 12 RBIs. His elite production is crucial right now with Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton both sidelined on the injured list.

While our models project a rest-of-season average of .259 with seven more home runs, Goldschmidt's current .295 season average and nine homers through 45 games suggest a late-career surge. At age 38, some regression toward his baseline is expected, but his high-contact rate over the last 30 days indicates this hot streak is sustainable.

The Yankees have six home games scheduled this week against the White Sox and Reds, offering highly favorable matchups against high-ERA starters like Anthony Kay and Rhett Lowder. Despite tough bookend matchups against Davis Martin and Chase Burns, Goldschmidt is playing too well to be benched. He is an easy Start.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Paul Goldschmidt
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Performance JJ Bleday
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.217225.3570.56506
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.184346.2730.408112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Paul Goldschmidt
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.400272.4440.64006
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.3783125.4040.622111
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START JJ Bleday
OWN
79%
-1.64 compared to last week
START
74%
-3.4 compared to last week
OWN/START Paul Goldschmidt
OWN
37%
+11.44 compared to last week
START
30%
+8.69 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus JJ Bleday
36th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Paul Goldschmidt
31st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown JJ Bleday

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: LF DH . However, he plays LF most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 37th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 19th.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 302nd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.265
  • Ranked 129th in batting average with 0.266
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 81st with 0.363
  • Top 20 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 16th with 0.570
  • Top 25 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 23rd with 0.932
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 198th with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 145th in RBI with 30
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 207th in runs scored with 24
  • Top 75 in HRs and is currently ranked 72nd with 12
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.069, OBP: +0.07, HRs: +5, RBI: +9, Runs: -3, Wlks: -3, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Paul Goldschmidt

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B DH . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 31st among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 27th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 112th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.327
  • Top 50 in batting average with 0.305 and is currently ranked 39th
  • Top 75 on base percentage and is currently ranked 65th with 0.368
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 38th with 0.532
  • Top 35 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 35th with 0.900
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 304th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 157th in RBI with 28
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 258th in runs scored with 20
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.016, OBP: -0.003, HRs: +2, RBI: EVEN, Runs: -20, Wlks: -8, Stls: -4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury JJ Bleday

No Injury Reported

Injury Paul Goldschmidt

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups JJ Bleday
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS NYMTobias Myers
Jun 16VS NYMChristian Scott
Jun 17VS NYMNolan McLean
Jun 19@NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 20@NYYWill Warren
Jun 21@NYYGerrit Cole
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.308112.4000.53803
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Paul Goldschmidt
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16VS CHWDavis Martin
Jun 17VS CHWAnthony Kay
Jun 18VS CHWSean Burke
Jun 19VS CINRhett Lowder
Jun 20VS CINAndrew Abbott
Jun 21VS CINChase Burns
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating JJ Bleday
10.62
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Paul Goldschmidt
9.63
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career JJ Bleday
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 MIA 53 30 5 17 13 4 24 .172 .279 .328 109
2023 OAK 81 50 10 35 27 5 42 .195 .310 .355 214
2024 OAK 156 139 20 74 60 2 65 .243 .322 .437 484
2025 ATH 95 64 14 47 39 1 34 .208 .287 .401 249
2026 CIN 42 42 12 24 30 2 23 .266 .363 .570 180
ON PACE 97 97 27 55 69 4 53 .266 .363 .570 416
3-YEAR AVG 111 84 15 52 42 3 47 .223 .310 .409 316
Career 427 325 61 197 169 14 188 .222 .312 .416
Career Paul Goldschmidt
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2012 ARI 145 147 20 82 82 18 60 .286 .358 .490 447
2013 ARI 160 182 36 103 125 15 99 .302 .401 .551 617
2014 ARI 103 120 18 74 68 9 58 .307 .395 .550 381
2015 ARI 158 182 33 103 110 21 118 .321 .435 .570 621
2016 ARI 158 172 24 106 95 32 110 .297 .411 .489 583
2017 ARI 153 166 36 117 119 18 94 .297 .404 .563 607
2018 ARI 158 172 33 95 83 7 90 .290 .389 .533 512
2019 STL 168 165 36 102 99 3 79 .260 .343 .479 502
2020 STL 61 64 8 34 26 1 38 .309 .417 .507 184
2021 STL 155 172 31 100 98 12 67 .289 .362 .511 612
2022 STL 141 170 33 98 109 6 71 .321 .403 .581 603
2023 STL 154 159 25 89 80 11 86 .269 .364 .449 536
2024 STL 153 145 22 70 64 11 47 .244 .300 .410 429
2025 NYY 141 138 10 75 45 5 34 .277 .329 .404 405
2026 NYY 43 46 9 23 31 1 14 .295 .360 .532 165
ON PACE 99 106 20 53 71 2 32 .295 .360 .532 381
3-YEAR AVG 149 147 19 78 63 9 56 .263 .332 .422 457
Career 2051 2200 374 1271 1234 170 1065 .289 .378 .506
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Jared Jones
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Chase Burns
Tobias Myers
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Troy Melton
Kai-Wei Teng
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Spence
Andrew Alvarez
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Nick Martinez
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Zack Wheeler
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
MacKenzie Gore
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Dustin May
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