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2023 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

ALL QB RB TE WR K DST
THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
6.00 Travis Kelce 15 2TE 219 12 1TE 198
28.00 Mark Andrews 10 11TE 135 10 9TE 135
44.00 T.J. Hockenson 15 3TE 219 13 2TE 197
53.00 George Kittle 16 5TE 203 13 4TE 170
60.00 Darren Waller 11 15TE 104 8 14TE 80
71.00 Dallas Goedert 13 12TE 135 10 17TE 98
73.00 Kyle Pitts 16 14TE 133 13 13TE 111
85.00 Evan Engram 16 4TE 206 13 5TE 170
93.00 Pat Freiermuth 10 27TE 73 8 26TE 61
98.00 David Njoku 16 6TE 201 13 7TE 141
119.00 Dalton Schultz 14 10TE 141 11 12TE 114
135.00 Dalton Kincaid 15 13TE 135 12 11TE 121
136.00 Tyler Higbee 15 21TE 109 12 20TE 83
141.00 Cole Kmet 14 7TE 174 12 6TE 146
142.00 Juwan Johnson 12 24TE 91 9 37TE 41
146.00 Chigoziem Okonkwo 16 22TE 108 13 23TE 77
151.00 Greg Dulcich 2 91TE 6 2 86TE 6
163.00 Sam LaPorta 16 1TE 225 13 3TE 177
166.00 Dawson Knox 9 46TE 44 8 40TE 40
172.00 Gerald Everett 14 15TE 110 11 14TE 82
189.00 Michael Mayer 12 31TE 71 11 30TE 58
201.00 Irv Smith 9 56TE 34 8 53TE 30
202.00 Taysom Hill 15 15TE 132 12 14TE 118
204.00 Luke Musgrave 10 28TE 73 10 24TE 73
206.00 Mike Gesicki 14 36TE 64 11 34TE 45
207.00 Jake Ferguson 16 9TE 164 13 8TE 138
223.00 Zach Ertz 7 40TE 52 7 33TE 52
230.00 Hayden Hurst 9 48TE 42 9 36TE 42
238.00 Tyler Conklin 16 17TE 120 13 19TE 97
239.00 Hunter Henry 13 16TE 120 12 15TE 100
248.00 Noah Fant 14 29TE 73 12 29TE 58
261.00 Isaiah Likely 12 25TE 90 9 35TE 45
274.00 Trey McBride 16 8TE 169 13 10TE 129
289.00 Darnell Washington 8 82TE 13 7 78TE 11
299.00 Jelani Woods 0 15TE 0 14TE
308.00 Cade Otton 15 18TE 112 12 16TE 100
323.00 Daniel Bellinger 13 42TE 51 10 50TE 31
328.00 Robert Tonyan 10 15TE 22 7 14TE 13
329.00 Logan Thomas 15 15TE 125 12 14TE 104
349.00 Austin Hooper 15 49TE 41 12 52TE 31
352.00 Jimmy Graham 5 15TE 34 4 14TE 25
373.00 Luke Schoonmaker 11 65TE 27 10 59TE 25
387.00 Albert Okwuegbunam 1 15TE 0 1 14TE 0
390.00 Foster Moreau 10 45TE 45 7 46TE 36
394.00 Will Dissly 11 64TE 27 9 64TE 22
398.00 C.J. Uzomah 7 15TE 20 7 14TE 20
405.00 Durham Smythe 12 35TE 66 9 41TE 39
416.00 Noah Gray 15 32TE 71 12 27TE 59
423.00 Connor Heyward 10 53TE 37 10 43TE 37
428.00 Peyton Hendershot 6 4 3 1
434.00 Cole Turner 7 15TE 23 7 14TE 23
435.00 Donald Parham 12 15TE 66 12 14TE 66
437.00 Adam Trautman 15 39TE 57 12 32TE 52
449.00 Hunter Long 0 0 0 0
463.00 Colby Parkinson 13 37TE 58 10 39TE 40
480.00 Dalton Keene 0 15TE 0 0 14TE 0
483.00 Noah Gindorff 0 15TE 0 14TE
490.00 Brenton Strange 5 77TE 15 4 73TE 13
492.00 Brock Wright 8 63TE 28 8 56TE 28
493.00 Elijah Higgins 8 58TE 31 5 83TE 9
502.00 Jake Tonges 0 0
503.00 Nick Muse 0 15TE 0 0 14TE 0
510.00 Dan Arnold 0 15TE 0 14TE
512.00 Quintin Morris 2 85TE 11 2 77TE 11
514.00 Jordan Akins 12 70TE 23 9 72TE 13
522.00 Charlie Kolar 5 76TE 16 2 93TE 2
531.00 Zack Kuntz 0 15TE 0 0 14TE
532.00 Austin Allen 0 15TE 0 14TE
537.00 Stone Smartt 11 62TE 29 8 68TE 17
541.00 Josh Oliver 11 43TE 48 8 42TE 38
546.00 Brycen Hopkins 3 15TE 6 3 14TE 6
549.00 Nikola Kalinic 0 15TE 0 14TE
553.00 Cameron Latu 0 15TE 0 14TE
557.00 Josiah Deguara 4 78TE 15 4 71TE 15
558.00 Davis Allen 3 75TE 19 2 67TE 17
559.00 John FitzPatrick 0 0 0 0
560.00 Armani Rogers 0 15TE 0 14TE
563.00 Gerrit Prince 0 15TE 0 14TE
566.00 Jeremy Ruckert 10 59TE 31 9 57TE 28
570.00 Jack Stoll 4 90TE 7 4 85TE 7
572.00 James Mitchell 1 15TE 1 0 14TE 0
575.00 Tommy Tremble 12 38TE 57 9 38TE 41
578.00 Teagan Quitoriano 3 15TE 5 3 14TE 5
583.00 Pharaoh Brown 8 52TE 37 5 51TE 31
584.00 Payne Durham 6 84TE 11 5 84TE 7
590.00 Tre' McKitty 0 15TE 0 0 14TE 0
598.00 Kaden Smith 0 15TE 0 14TE
612.00 Will Mallory 10 50TE 39 8 58TE 27
614.00 Mitchell Wilcox 9 15TE 15 6 14TE 9
616.00 Zach Gentry 0 15TE 0 0 14TE
617.00 Josh Whyle 8 67TE 24 8 61TE 24
619.00 Dre Miller 0 15TE 0 14TE
620.00 Brevin Jordan 9 15TE 51 6 14TE 34
623.00 Lucas Krull 6 68TE 24 3 91TE 5
626.00 Tyree Jackson 0 15TE 0 0 14TE 0
631.00 John Bates 13 57TE 34 10 55TE 28
632.00 Tanner Hudson 11 26TE 77 8 28TE 59
634.00 Nick Bowers 0 15TE 0 14TE
639.00 Brayden Willis 0 0 0 0
640.00 Mo Alie-Cox 12 47TE 43 9 54TE 29
643.00 Tyler Mabry 0 15TE 0 14TE
651.00 Blake Bell 5 15TE 10 3 14TE 9
652.00 Jared Pinkney 0 15TE 0 14TE
660.00 Grant Calcaterra 1 4 0 0
664.00 Jesper Horsted 1 15TE 1 1 14TE 1
670.00 Lawrence Cager 3 15TE 14 2 14TE 12
675.00 Giovanni Ricci 1 15TE 1 1 14TE 1
676.00 Kylen Granson 14 33TE 70 11 31TE 55
680.00 Noah Togiai 0 15TE 0 0 14TE 0
N/A Jonnu Smith 11 19TE 112 14 18TE 97
N/A Tucker Kraft 6 30TE 72 9 47TE 36
N/A Drew Sample 10 44TE 48 13 44TE 36
N/A Harrison Bryant 10 51TE 38 13 49TE 33
N/A Drew Ogletree 9 54TE 36 10 45TE 36
N/A Luke Farrell 7 60TE 29 9 62TE 23
N/A Johnny Mundt 5 61TE 29 8 76TE 11
N/A MyCole Pruitt 7 69TE 23 8 65TE 21
N/A Ben Sims 4 83TE 12 6 79TE 11
N/A Julian Hill 4 88TE 8 5 88TE 6
N/A Ko Kieft 2 89TE 7 3 94TE 0
N/A Nate Adkins 4 92TE 6 4 87TE 6

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Waiver Trends

More Trends
Josh Johnson BAL QB +9.7
Dallas Goedert PHI TE +0.8
Rome Odunze CHI WR +0.7
Puka Nacua LAR WR +0.6
Christian McCaffrey SF RB +0.6
Tony Pollard TEN RB +0.6
Justin Herbert LAC QB +0.5
Romeo Doubs GB WR +0.5
Rashid Shaheed NO WR +0.5
Caleb Williams CHI QB +0.5
Devin Singletary NYG RB +0.5
Chase McLaughlin TB K +0.5
David Njoku CLE TE +0.5
Chig Okonkwo TEN TE +0.5
C.J. Stroud HOU QB +0.4
Diontae Johnson WR -9.4
Raheem Mostert MIA RB -0.8
Evan McPherson CIN K -0.8
Raheem Blackshear CAR RB -0.7
Kendre Miller NO RB -0.7
Russell Wilson PIT QB -0.7
Najee Harris PIT RB -0.6
Lions DST DET DST -0.6
Wil Lutz DEN K -0.6
Jets DST NYJ DST -0.6
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN WR -0.6
Kareem Hunt KC RB -0.6
Tua Tagovailoa MIA QB -0.5
Jake Moody SF K -0.5
Tyler Allgeier ATL RB -0.5

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