Super Bowl 57 Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs Best Bets & Player Props
After a torturous week without NFL football which serves as a bleak glimpse into the next seven months of our lives, we have finally made it to Super Bowl Sunday where we get one last taste of football before the dark days ahead. The chalk won out in the playoffs with both No. 1 seeds making it to the big game this season. We will get the Kansas City Chiefs representing the AFC and the Philadelphia Eagles representing the NFC.
Super Bowl 57 Best Bets
This was a rare season when the two clear-cut best teams in each conference both made it to the Super Bowl and will face off head-to-head to determine the best team in the NFL. The teams look to be evenly matched, both finishing the season with a 14-3 record. Philly has the edge on defense boasting the league’s second-ranked defense with the Chiefs’ defense ranking 11th. While the Chiefs will attack with the league’s top offense compared to the Eagles’ offense which ranks third. This is a tough one to call with Philly being a 1.5-point favorite.
The Chiefs have the clear advantage at quarterback. Jalen Hurts is a fine QB in his own right, but Mahomes is the best player in the world. He has an excellent offensive line to block for him and the best weapon in this game for either team is tight end Travis Kelce. However, Hurts does have the advantage with a better rushing attack, superior wideouts, and an outstanding offensive line and tight end as well.
On the other side of the ball, the Eagles’ defense has been outstanding all year. They have dominated everyone they’ve faced in the playoffs and Haason Reddick has been an absolute terror for opposing offenses. They can shut teams down and create big plays. They are the most dangerous defense in the league and certainly in this game.
Nonetheless, the difference in this game will be the criminally underrated Chiefs’ defense. This is a really good group led by defensive lineman Chris Jones who will likely finish top three in the Defensive Player of the Year voting. They are good enough to slow the Eagles’ offense down just a bit. Which is all Mahomes needs to get the job done.
The Chiefs also have a significant advantage at head coach with Andy Reid being a proven commodity and already owning a championship ring. While it makes sense why the Eagles are the favorites. Coaching, quarterback, and intangibles seem to heavily lean in the favor of Kansas City.
The Picks
Spread: Kansas City Chiefs +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under: Over 51 (-110)
Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs (+105)
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Player Props of the Night
Prop #1: Kadarius Toney, Over 2.5 Receptions (-150)
We have seen the Chiefs heavily use Jerick McKinnon to perfection in big games. However, since Toney has come into the mix he has taken over that role as the guy they dump the ball off to in space. He will easily get three receptions in this game. Perhaps even in the first half. The only concern here is if he gets injured early in the game which isn’t out of the realm of possibilities for the ultra-talented, but oft-injured receiver. He had five receptions on seven targets in the playoffs against the Jags. He was playing the same role against the Bengals but got injured early and didn’t return. If he stays healthy this is easy money. Currently, he says he’s fully healthy and 100% in for the Super Bowl.
Prop #2: Patrick Mahomes, Under 18.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
This is a big number for a quarterback with a bum ankle. There is no way they will have Mahomes running and risk losing him or further limiting him for the remainder of the game. So far in the playoffs he has 16 total rushing yards and I doubt he surpasses that in one game while dealing with a high-ankle sprain. Sure, it will be better than it was in the AFC Championship Game, but it won’t be 100% and it’s just not worth the risk unless the game is on the line. It’s not like he’s a big-time runner anyway. In 19 games this season he failed to reach this mark nine times and finished with single-digit rushing yards in all of those games.
Prop #3: Hasson Reddick, Over .25 Sacks (-165)
We already mentioned how hot he’s been in the playoffs. With the bar set here on him just having to get half of a sack, you have to ride the hot hand. Especially if he’s facing a QB with limited mobility. Coming off a 16-sack season, he has already racked up 3.5 sacks in two playoff games. It not often he goes a game without a sack and the way he’s been playing as of late we don’t expect that to change on Sunday.
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