Fantasy Football Draft Day Comparisons | CeeDee Lamb or Tyreek Hill, Breece Hall or Bijan Robinson, D.J. Moore or DK Metcalf and More
Answering trending draft questions from the FantasySP Who Should I Draft tool.
The NFL season is just about here, so fantasy football drafts are really picking up now.
For those of you who haven’t drafted yet, this story is for you. We’re going to use the FantasySP Who Should I Draft tool and answer several of the trending decisions right now. Let’s jump right in!
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Draft Tyreek Hill or CeeDee Lamb?
Hill and Lamb have been picks two or three in most fantasy drafts this season, behind only Christian McCaffrey.
Hill has overtaken Lamb for the No. 2 spot on the ADP list after Lamb led the way much of the preseason. I’m wondering if that will change now that Lamb has signed a new deal with Dallas.
Anyways, we are here to debate drafting Hill or Lamb.
Hill has been one of the best fantasy receivers in the game for several years now. He started his fantasy dominance with Patrick Mahomes and now is excelling with Tua Tagovailoa.
In his first two seasons in Miami, Hill has gone over 1,700 receiving yards, with 20 combined touchdowns - seven in 2022 before 13 in 2023.
Lamb has steadily improved with Dallas over his four-year NFL career. He’s gone up roughly 200 yards in each season, and had 1,749 last season. Lamb caught 12 touchdowns, which was also a new career high.
I’m a fan of Hill over Lamb, but really you can’t go wrong with either. Hill has done things longer, so that’s why I gravitate toward him, but at the same time, a younger Lamb is maybe more appealing to someone else. Both guys are going to dominate when they are on the field and neither should fall past pick three.
Draft Zamir White or Javonte Williams?
White and Williams are going near each other in drafts. White is currently RB24 and going around pick 69, while Williams is RB27 and going around pick 81.
Williams has had an interesting start to his career. He had a strong rookie season, with 903 rushing yards and four touchdowns. In his sophomore season, Williams played in four games before sustaining a major knee injury. In 2023, he had just 774 rushing yards and three touchdowns and wasn’t utilized as a top back some weeks.
Williams looks like the starter right now, but it’s hard to trust after last season. It doesn’t help that Jaleel McLaughlin, Audric Estime and Samaje Perine are all on the roster and can take away snaps and touches.
White was playing behind Josh Jacobs in his first couple NFL seasons. He got some run when Jacobs was injured in 2023, and White had 451 rushing yards and a touchdown.
He’s the clear RB1 in Vegas, with Alexander Mattison serving as his biggest competition for looks. He’d probably be drafted a lot higher if we had more history to look back on, or if the Raiders’ offense had a better quarterback situation.
I would take White over Williams and think ADP has things right with this one. Any time I have the chance to choose a back with a clearer path to touches, I’m doing it, and White has that chance more than Williams this season.
Draft Breece Hall or Bijan Robinson?
Hall and Robinson are two of the better fantasy backs this season, and actually are going after McCaffrey only according to our ADP data. Hall is RB2 and going around pick four, while Robinson is RB3 and going around pick five.
Hall showed there were no concerns after his rookie season injury when he rushed for 994 yards and five touchdowns last season. He added 591 receiving yards and four scores on 76 receptions.
Hall was the focal point of the offense after Aaron Rodgers got hurt in the first game. With Rodgers back, you can expect the Jets to pass more, but that might make Hall more efficient (if he ends up with less rushing attempts). Rodgers loves to utilize his backs in the passing game, so expect Hall to be a PPR monster.
Robinson was great in his rookie season, rushing for 976 yards and four touchdowns despite not having a workhorse role. He added 384 receiving yards and three scores on 51 grabs.
Robinson looks like he’ll serve as more of a true RB1 for his team this season. He’s got a better quarterback beside him, which should make life easier on Robinson.
I like Robinson slightly ahead of Hall, but much like the Hill vs. Lamb debate, it’s really a coin flip. Robinson gets the edge for me because I like the Falcons’ offense a little bit more. More offensive playmakers means more time with the ball, and that helps fantasy backs out. I’d go against ADP here and take Robinson ahead of Hall.
Draft Michael Pittman or Jaylen Waddle?
This is a fascinating draft decision to me, and it just so happens they are back-to-back on the WR ADP list. Pittman is WR17 and going around pick 35, while Waddle is WR18 and going at pick 37 on average.
Both receivers have three strong seasons of NFL play, with Pittman not accomplishing as much as a rookie.
Waddle has three straight 1,000-yard seasons to start his career, even though he missed some games last season. He had 72 catches for 1,014 yards and four scores in 2023.
Waddle is a WR2 on his team to Hill, but he’s proven the past two years that he can still be a great fantasy asset and startable receiver just about every week.
Pittman went for 1,152 yards (a career high), but just four touchdowns in 2023. He also had four TD grabs in 2022, but with 10 less catches and over 200 yards less.
Pittman is the WR1 for his team, but has more competition now than in years past with Josh Downs and Adonai Mitchell surrounding him.
I lean toward Waddle over Pittman in this decision. I know Pittman is likely to be his team’s top receiver, but I simply trust Waddle more because of what he’s done over his career. I get wanting Pittman for his upside in his offense, but I actually think Waddle has more potential in the Dolphins’ offense. It’s very close, but I trust the career numbers here and take Waddle.
Draft D.J. Moore or DK Metcalf?
This is another fun draft decision between guys in very similar situations. Metcalf is WR21 and going around pick 42, while Moore is WR22 and going at pick 43.
They’ve had very similar careers, but Metcalf has 18 more touchdown grabs because he’s played with better quarterbacks along the way.
Metcalf has three 1,000-plus yard seasons in his five-year career, missing it by less than 100 yards twice. He had 1,114 yards and eight touchdowns on 66 catches and 120 targets in 2023.
He’s got a young, emerging Jaxon Smith-Njigba and a veteran Tyler Lockett to compete for targets with. Metcalf doesn’t really have a tight end to worry about.
Moore had three 1,000-plus yard seasons in Carolina before erupting for 1,364 yards and eight touchdowns on 96 catches and 136 targets in Chicago last season.
He’s got the rookie Rome Odunze and a veteran Keenan Allen to compete for targets for, along with tight end Cole Kmet. Moore also has rookie Caleb Williams throwing to him.
I barely give Metcalf the edge over Moore in this matchup. The pass catchers around Metcalf are not quite as talented, and while Geno Smith is nothing special at QB, I trust him more than a rookie for a top-end fantasy receiver pick. Moore probably sees a bigger decrease in production because of the talent around him and because Williams isn’t likely to star right away.