Top 10 Prop Bets for Wild Card Weekend: Joe Mixon, Ladd McConkey, Rashod Bateman, Bo Nix, Josh Jacobs and More

Prop #1: Joe Mixon, Under 97.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards (-110)

Mixon was a revelation during the first half of the season, but age seems to have set in as a reality. It is clear that he began to run out of gas once Thanksgiving was in our rearview. He's only cleared this line once since November 18 has he cleared this bar and that came against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Other than that, his high since November 18 for rushing and receiving yards combined is just 71 yards. The combination of a tough matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers and an aging running back who is wearing down late in the year is betting gold if you're betting against him.  

Prop #2: Nico Collins, Over 6.5 Receptions (+110)

Collins is essentially all that's left of the Texans' offense. Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell are long gone, Mixon is slowing down, and C.J. Stroud has regressed significantly. All that's left to do is constantly feed Collins in what will likely be a losing effort for Houston. I expect a desperate and failing offense to do the only thing they have left to do - throw it to Collins. 

Prop #3: Ladd McConkey, Over 5.5 Receptions (-150)

McConkey has become a target machine over the back half of the year. November 10 was the last time he didn't see at least six targets in a game, so the opportunity is there for him every week.

Since we hit December, he's been averaging more than eight targets a game. In his worst game since Week 9, he caught five receptions. This bar is set surprisingly low for the breakout rookie in a matchup that doesn't scare us at all. 

Prop #4: Rashod Bateman, Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Bateman has quietly put together a solid season. This weekend, he'll be serving as the WR1 and Lamar Jackson's top option on the outside. We expect him to see volume, but even if he doesn't, he has the big-play ability to clear this bar on just one play. We also love him at over 3.5 receptions if you want to go all in on Bateman in this game. 

Prop #5: Josh Allen, Anytime TD Scorer (-125)

Every time we get an opportunity to take Josh Allen to score a TD, we take it and it has worked out all year. Excluding last week when he rested, there has only been one game since Week 9 in which Allen didn't score a TD on his own.

This is an easy prop that you should bet on every week, however, we like it even more in the playoffs because Allen tends to try to play Superman in these games, even if it's to his team's own detriment. 

Prop #6: Bo Nix, Over 225.5 Passing Yards (-115)

This is basically just a matter of game script combined with a Bills' pass defense that does give up yards to the wideouts. We expect the Bills to win this game and the Broncos will have to throw a ton to have any chance of keeping pace with the Buffalo offense, especially when you consider how large of a step the Broncos' defense has taken back in the second half of the season. This game could reach garbage time early. 

Prop #7: Saquon Barkley, Over 104.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

This is a game I expect the Eagles to dominate and it makes all the sense in the world for this to be a massive game for Barkley. The way he's played this season, he can run through any defense, but the Packers are a good matchup in what should be a very run-heavy game plan.

Even if you think the game is going to be close, Philly has A.J. Brown toughing it out through a knee injury and Jalen Hurts who hasn't played in three weeks due to a concussion. The Eagles are going to run heavy early so Hurts can shake the rust off and run heavy late because they'll be working the clock down.

This is a line that he has cleared in six of his last seven games, in 11 of 16 games this season, and earlier in the season when he played the Packers. 

Prop #8: Josh Jacobs, Under 95.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-110)

Nothing is working in Jacobs's favor here. He's projected to be in a negative game script against an elite rush defense that has shut down running backs all season. This line is much higher than we expected it to be and we don't see him even coming close to racking up more than 95 yards on the road against this defense. 

Prop #9: Terry McLaurin, Over 64.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

We expect the Commanders to be caught up in a shootout on Sunday Night. Washington will not be able to stop or even slow down Tampa and the Bucs struggle mightily against wide receivers.

Scary Terry should have a monster game and easily clear 64.5 yards. We do think the Bucs will win this game, which only means more passing for the Commanders' offense. Jayden Daniels and McLaurin will take full advantage of the opportunity to show off what they've been doing all season on a primetime playoff stage. 

Prop #10: Puka Nacua, Over 7.5 Receptions (-120)

This is a game that we believe the Rams are very capable of winning against the Vikings. However, you can't run against them, so it will take a high-octane passing attack to knock them off.

There is no more debate, Nacua has become the undisputed WR1 in LA and Cooper Kupp is miles behind him. Matthew Stafford targets Nacua relentlessly, including his 14-target game last week, his second 14-target game in four weeks. The Rams are going to throw the ball a ton in this game and most of their passes go to Nacua. Don't overcomplicate this one.