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10:10PM • PREVIEW ESPN

Curtis Mead or Josh Naylor

Who Should I Start? - Week 14 • Start New
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor

1BSeattle Mariners SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Naylor

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead Primed to Bust Out of Mini-Slump in Favorable Matchups

Curtis Mead has hit a cold stretch over the last seven days, batting just .118 with a single home run, though his larger 30-day window remains highly productive with six homers and 14 RBIs. He continues to play nearly every day, holding down the starting role at third base for the third-place Nationals (37-35) who are currently riding a two-game winning streak.

While his recent slump is frustrating, Mead's overall 2026 line of 10 home runs and a .342 on-base percentage across 171 at-bats shows his power breakout is legitimate. Our models project him to flash that pop with another 10 homers and 42 RBIs over his next 80 projected at-bats, meaning his current slide is a temporary blip rather than a cause for concern.

The Nationals have a six-game slate this week, starting with a highly favorable home series against Kansas City where Mead will face vulnerable starters Mitch Spence (13.50 ERA) and Luinder Avila (6.19 ERA). While a weekend trip to Tampa Bay brings tougher matchups like Nick Martinez (2.43 ERA), Mead's strong track record against right-handers makes him an excellent lineup option. Weekly Verdict: Start.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Naylor over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor aims to shake off a minor shin issue and build on his recent power stroke for the first-place Mariners

Josh Naylor is currently questionable with a right shin injury sustained on June 14, but he remains the team's primary everyday starter at first base. Before the injury, Naylor had been flexing his muscles, clubbing two home runs and driving in six runs over his last seven games while helping the first-place Mariners maintain their division lead in the AL West with a 37-36 record. Seattle's lineup is already missing several key pieces, so fantasy managers will need to monitor the active lineup card daily.

While Naylor's .214 batting average over the last week is a bit cold, his broader profile remains highly productive. He is batting .253 with eight home runs and 13 stolen bases through 68 games, proving that his high-steals performance from last season wasn't a complete fluke. Our season models project him to finish around a .272 average with 20 home runs and nine stolen bases, suggesting his overall production is stable and his fantasy roster spot remains incredibly secure.

Seattle has a full seven-game slate at home, starting with Baltimore and ending with Boston. The Mariners will face a few tough arms like Ranger Suarez, but they also get a highly favorable matchup against Kyle Bradish and his 4.54 ERA. Assuming Naylor returns from his shin ailment early in the week, our models project him for over 28 at-bats with a projected .281 average and over one home run, making him a mandatory lineup option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Josh Naylor
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Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.118112.2110.29405
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.205245.2790.385011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Josh Naylor
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.214263.2670.46417
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250387.3080.500112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
32%
-8.46 compared to last week
START
24%
-15.64 compared to last week
OWN/START Josh Naylor
OWN
92%
+0.99 compared to last week
START
71%
-9.28 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Josh Naylor
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 24th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 390th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.233
  • Ranked 257th in batting average with 0.232
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 137th with 0.343
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 86th with 0.479
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 94th with 0.822
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 347th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 199th in RBI with 24
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 176th in runs scored with 27
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.017, OBP: +0.058, HRs: +7, RBI: +22, Runs: +24, Wlks: +19, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Josh Naylor

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 10th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 7th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • He hasn't missed that many games lately, but he is listed on the injury report. He may have some nagging injuries with his Shin (Since Jun 14, 2026). Look at his player news.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 151st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.314
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.292 and is currently ranked 64th
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 117th with 0.350
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 174th with 0.421
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 148th with 0.771
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 155th with 13
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 176th in RBI with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 214th in runs scored with 23
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.047, OBP: -0.04, HRs: -1, RBI: -16, Runs: -9, Wlks: EVEN, Stls: +4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Injury Josh Naylor

SHIN - Since Jun 14, 2026

Naylor is dealing with a right shin injury and is uncertain to take the field for the Mariners.
Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 15VS KCMitch Spence
Jun 16VS KCMichael Wacha
Jun 17VS KCLuinder Avila
Jun 19@TBGriffin Jax
Jun 20@TB
Jun 21@TBNick Martinez
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Josh Naylor
DateOpponentResult
Jun 16VS BALBrandon Young
Jun 17VS BALKyle Bradish
Jun 18VS BALShane Baz
Jun 19VS BOSRanger Suarez
Jun 20VS BOS
Jun 20VS BOSConnelly Early
Jun 21VS BOSPayton Tolle
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250152.3330.43814
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Curtis Mead
8.79
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Josh Naylor
12.11
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 56 40 10 31 29 3 25 .234 .342 .468 193
ON PACE 126 90 22 69 65 6 56 .234 .342 .468 434
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 206 148 15 78 60 10 53 .238 .312 .359
Career Josh Naylor
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2019 SD 92 63 8 29 31 1 24 .249 .314 .403 156
2020 SD 41 29 2 16 9 1 4 .279 .312 .413 68
2021 CLE 67 59 7 28 21 1 14 .258 .306 .406 181
2022 CLE 118 114 21 47 77 5 33 .260 .316 .463 412
2023 CLE 121 140 17 52 97 10 33 .310 .356 .491 477
2024 CLE 161 146 31 86 113 6 59 .242 .315 .444 584
2025 ARI 158 176 23 88 97 32 52 .298 .358 .471 648
2026 SEA 68 68 8 27 32 13 23 .253 .316 .372 238
ON PACE 150 150 17 59 71 28 51 .253 .316 .372 528
3-YEAR AVG 147 154 24 75 102 16 48 .281 .341 .467 570
Career 826 795 117 373 477 69 242 .271 .329 .446
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAA 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
ATH vs PIT 09:40 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Jared Jones
CHC vs COL 08:05 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN vs NYM 07:10 EDT EST Chase Burns
Tobias Myers
DET @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Troy Melton
Kai-Wei Teng
KC @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Mitch Spence
Andrew Alvarez
LAD vs TB 10:10 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Nick Martinez
MIA @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Zack Wheeler
MIN @TEX 08:05 EDT EST
MacKenzie Gore
SD @STL 07:45 EDT EST Lucas Giolito
Dustin May
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