PrizePicks NFL Conference Championship Round Prop Bets: Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, Miles Sanders & More!
PrizePicks is offering tons of great prop bets for this year’s NFL playoffs just like they do each and every week of the regular season. It’s a fun and easy site to make bets on. They give you a stat for each player and you pick More or Less. It doesn’t get any simpler than that.
Conference Championship Top PrizePicks Props
Joe Burrow + Patrick Mahomes (542.5 Passing Yards)
You’re crazy if you take the under on this line with these two guys going head-to-head in a massive playoff game. Mahomes led the league in passing yards and Burrow finished fifth. Both have a tendency to show up and show out on the biggest stage and that’s exactly what they will do this weekend. It doesn’t hurt that both defenses are significantly better against the run. What’s great about this bet is game script won’t be an issue either because someone has to be losing throwing even in the worst-case scenario. Put your money on the two best quarterbacks in the league playing like they always do.
The Pick: More than 542.5 Passing Yards
Brock Purdy + Jalen Hurts (456.5 Passing Yards)
The same basic principle applies here except the line is much lower and rightfully so. This is because the defenses are elite and the quarterbacks aren’t nearly as good. Still, the game script once again won’t be an issue because even in the worst-case scenario of a blowout someone has to be airing out. Also, we love that the better quarterback, Jalen Hurts, has the better matchup relative to the 49ers’ strengths. The Eagles generally love to run the ball, but it’s nearly impossible against the Niners’ front seven and their second-ranked rush defense. So he will be forced to throw the ball more than he usually does which should be more than enough to put this bet over the target. The QBs only have to average just less than 230 passing yards each in this game. This one isn’t as much of a lock as Mahomes and Burrow, but we still think they hit it.
The Pick: More than 465.5 Passing Yards
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Isiah Pacheco, Kansas City Chiefs (47.5 Rushing Yards)
It took a while, but Pacheco is now the clear-cut RB1 in Kansas City. He has been coming on strong and last week dominated a very rush defense. On 12 carries he rushed for 95 yards against the Jags. That’s 7.9 yards per carry. There is a good chance the Chiefs try to get him the ball even more in this one to help take some pressure off Mahomes and his bad ankle and give him more time in the pocket if the defense has to respect the rushing attack. This number is one he has eclipsed in nine of his last 10 games. He should have no issue doing it again on Sunday.
According to our NFL Over/Under Prop Bet Rankings tool, he has hit the over on his rushing yards prop in 64 % of his games this season. That number jumps to 67% at home.
The Pick: More than 47.5 Rushing Yards
Kenneth Gainwell, Philadelphia Eagles (9.5 Rushing Yards)
This one is easy to understand. We are simply betting Gainwell participates in this game. He averages 4.5 yards per carry so two to four carries should get the job done. Last week he saw 12 carries for 112 yards and five for 35 the week prior. There isn’t much more to explain with this one.
According to our NFL Over/Under Prop Bet Rankings tool, Gainwell has hit the over on his rushing prop 55% of the time this season. The odds are in his favor and this isn’t a high bar to clear.
The Pick: More than 9.5 Rushing Yards
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Miles Sanders, Philadelphia Eagles (5.5 Receiving Yards)
This number looks very small, but we don’t think Sanders can clear it. It’s always scary when a number is this low and he can clear it with one short play, nonetheless, his receiving numbers this season are jarringly bad. In 18 games this season he has totaled 78 receiving yards. As bad as he’s been all season through the air, he has been horrific as of late. Over the past five games, he has caught two passes for -7 yards on three total targets. During that span, he has as many lost fumbles as he has receptions. We have to bet against him here.
According to our NFL Over/Under Prop Bet Rankings tool, Sanders has only hit the over on his receiving prop bets 29% of the time this season.
The Pick: Less than 5.5 Receiving Yards
Kenneth Gainwell, Philadelphia Eagles (6.5 Receiving Yards)
With Sanders never doing anything in the passing game another running back needs to pick up the slack and Gainwell is your guy. Again, he pretty much just needs to get on the field to his target here. It’s odd that Prize Picks is treating Gainwell like he never sees the field with these lines. He has cleared this low bar in five straight and in seven of his last eight games. He averages 7.3 yards per catch this season and has caught a pass in all but four games. With 23 receptions for 169 yards with a 7.3 average on the season coming off a big game it’s bizarre his lines are so low for this game, but you should take advantage of them.
The Pick: More than 6.5 Receiving Yards
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