Fantasy Football Trade Advice Week 4: Should You Trade Adonai Mitchell, Drake London, Kenneth Walker?

Ted takes a look at what to do with three of the hottest fantasy football trade pieces heading into Week 4.

There's nothing more fun than making a fantasy football trade. However, it can often be hard to know which players to target and which of your own you can get good value for. That's where FantasySP's tools come in: We can use the FantasySP Fantasy Assistant to find players that have the most Expected Trade Interest (ETI) and then cross-reference with the Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer to see how much those players are worth. 

This week, we’ve got an interesting set of players leading the way in ETI: An underperforming rookie, a perennial breakout candidate, and an injured stud. Let’s break down what to do with the hottest fantasy football trade pieces this week.

Sync your league with the Fantasy Assistant to get rankings, waiver help, trade suggestions, optimal lineups, and more. Not sure Who You Should Start? We can help. Utilize our fantasy football trade analyzer to make sure you’re getting the best value.

Best Fantasy Football Trades To Make Week 4

Sell Low On Adonai Mitchell

When I saw Mitchell on top of the chart, I had to double-check that I hadn’t accidentally clicked on the Expected Drops table. After decently promising usage (if not stats) in his first two weeks, Mitchell was a non-factor in the Colts’ offense in Week 3. With the return of Josh Downs, who immediately re-claimed a full-time role in the slot, Mitchell was the odd man out on the outside behind Michael Pittman and Alec Pierce. In fact, Mitchell fell all the way to fifth in the pecking order, with his two routes landing him one behind Ashton Dulin.

To be fair, there are reasons to expect Mitchell to eventually find his way back on the field. Alec Pierce has a putrid career yards per route run of just 1.15, while Mitchell is a rookie with second-round draft capital. We all know that rookie WRs usually see their roles expand throughout the year. On the other hand, Pierce himself was a second-rounder, and he’s been much more effective to start the 2024 season, with an elite 3.04 yards per route run so far.

Making matters worse for Mitchell, he’ll be hard-pressed to provide consistent fantasy value even when he does see the field. Through three weeks, the Colts rank dead last in the NFL with under 16 catchable targets per game. This isn’t just a coincidence: Anthony Richardson is horribly inaccurate, and Indianapolis has the fifth-highest rush rate over expected. With only 16 catchable targets to go around, Mitchell will be lucky to see two or three per game. His speed combined with Richardson’s cannon arm will likely lead to a few big weeks, but low volume will make him unusable in weeks where he doesn't hit a big play. Given that he’s currently two spots removed on the Colts’ depth chart from becoming just a frustrating boom-or-bust fantasy asset, now is the time to move Mitchell for anything you can get. 

Sell High On Drake London

I went back and forth on whether to label London a “sell high” or “sell low.” On the one hand, he ranks as just the WR23 in Half-PPR through three weeks after having an ADP inside the top 12 receivers. On the other hand, he’s coming off back-to-back solid weeks, seemingly trending in the right direction. In the end, I decided on sell high precisely because of his high ADP — there are likely plenty of fantasy managers who still believe London has WR1 potential. Regardless of the semantics, I don’t think he will live up to the hype (yet again) this season.

For one, a solid chunk of London’s production so far has been based on touchdowns, which are notoriously unpredictable. While he ranks 23rd in fantasy points, he ranks just 46th in yards, with under 50 per game. To be fair to London, he does rank 22nd in receptions, but he ranks 32nd in targets and 45th in air yards. He has never been much of a YAC threat, and his ADOT has fallen from above 11 in each of the first two years of his career to just 8.9 through three games in Atlanta’s new offense. 

London does lead the Falcons in target share at 22.6%, but that’s not exactly a WR1 number. That’s especially true when we consider that the Falcons still rank sixth in rush rate over expected and 23rd in EPA per play. The massive step forward for Atlanta’s passing game that many fantasy analysts were projecting with Arthur Smith's departure and Kirk Cousins' arrival has not materialized. London is still a talented young player, but he’s looking more likely to put up another WR3 season than truly emerge as a WR1 or even a high-end WR2. 

Buy Low On Kenneth Walker

Walker has been sidelined for the last two weeks with an oblique injury, but he could return as early as this week. Regardless of whether he does make it back for Week 4, now is an excellent time to trade for the third-year running back. His value will obviously go up the closer he gets to returning, but it’s unlikely to bounce back as far as it should. In Walker’s absence, Zach Charbonnet has thrived as the Seahawks’ lead back, posting two straight weeks of over 15 fantasy points. Charbonnet even scored a receiving touchdown in Week 1, with Walker active, further pushing a narrative that he will be a thorn in Walker’s fantasy value.

However, once Walker returns to full health, I don’t believe Charbonnet will be as involved as many are projecting. The Seahawks’ new coaching staff spent all offseason gushing about Walker’s potential as a three-down back. In Week 1, they followed through, giving Walker absolutely elite usage before his injury. Prior to his early exit, Walker had out-carried Charbonnet 20 to four. He also had played over 80% of snaps, more than he played in any game last season. Even counting snaps after his injury, Walker finished with a 46.4% route participation rate in Week 1 — he averaged just 30.4% last year. 

Charbonnet’s performance over the last two weeks may have earned him a slight uptick in usage. But, based on what we saw in Week 1, Walker can afford to lose some work and still have one of the best workloads of any RB in the league. Now may be the last chance to trade for him before his value truly takes off.

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