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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado

RP • Philadelphia Phillies Proj Rank N/A Actual 272 N/A • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L HLD SV K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
20.0 6.3 3-1 7 1 29/9 13.1 1.9 7.13
Compared to same point last season
20.02.704-15725/411.31.20

Jose Alvarado | Fantasy Outlook

Alvarado battles severe ratio inflation in late-inning setup role

Jose Alvarado continues to serve as the primary late-inning setup option for the second-place Phillies, who currently hold a 35-30 record. Over his last five appearances (4.2 innings), he has shown encouraging signs of stability with a 4.29 ERA and an excellent 0.95 WHIP. With fellow reliever Kyle Backhus sidelined with an elbow injury, Alvarado's high-leverage role remains highly secure.

Despite these recent improvements, Alvarado's season-long 7.04 ERA and 2.12 WHIP over 17.9 innings represent a massive liability. While our models project a rest-of-season correction toward a much safer 3.51 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, his current walk rate and base-runner traffic are a far cry from his career norms. Fantasy managers must see sustained control before trusting him.

This week, the Phillies travel to Toronto and Milwaukee for a six-game road trip. Our models project Alvarado for four innings and 2.6 strikeouts, but challenging matchups against Milwaukee's elite pitching staff, including Jacob Misiorowski (1.50 ERA), may limit late-game save or hold opportunities. Because of his ongoing ratio risks, we recommend you Sit him this week.


Updated 1 day ago

Jose Alvarado Fantasy

Loading...
DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
06/07 CHW 1.0 28 2 0 0 WIN 6.30 1.90 9
06/04 SD 1.0 25 1 1 2 N/A 6.63 1.95 0
06/02 SD 1.0 11 0 0 0 WIN 6.00 1.94 7
05/30 @LAD 0.2 13 0 0 0 N/A 6.35 2.06 1
05/27 @SD 1.0 20 2 0 0 SAVE 6.61 2.14 9
05/20 CIN 1.0 17 1 0 2 N/A 7.04 2.22 0
05/18 CIN 0.2 20 0 1 1 N/A 6.28 2.23 -1
05/15 @PIT 1.0 22 3 0 0 WIN 5.93 2.12 10
05/14 @BOS 1.0 21 1 0 1 HOLD 6.40 2.21 1
05/12 @BOS 0.2 6 1 0 0 HOLD 6.17 2.23 2
05/08 COL 1.0 20 2 0 0 N/A 6.55 2.36 4
05/06 ATH 0.2 16 2 1 0 N/A 7.20 2.60 2
05/04 @MIA 1.0 8 1 0 0 HOLD 7.71 2.57 3
05/01 @MIA 0.1 10 1 0 0 HOLD 8.64 2.88 1
04/30 SF 0.2 17 1 1 0 N/A 9.00 2.75 1
04/25 @ATL 1.1 17 0 0 0 N/A 7.45 1.97 2
04/23 @CHC 1.0 10 1 1 0 N/A 8.64 2.16 2
04/21 @CHC 0.1 23 1 1 1 N/A 9.82 2.18 -1
04/18 ATL 1.0 14 1 0 0 N/A 9.00 1.86 3
04/15 CHC 1.0 11 1 0 0 N/A 10.50 2.00 3
04/12 ARI 0.1 13 0 0 2 LOSS 12.60 2.40 -7
04/11 ARI 0.1 6 0 0 0 HOLD 9.64 2.14 1
04/08 @SF 0.2 17 2 0 1 N/A 10.39 2.31 1
04/06 @SF 1.0 22 1 0 0 HOLD 9.82 2.18 3
04/04 @COL 0.1 12 1 1 0 HOLD 13.50 3.00 1
04/01 WAS 1.0 8 0 0 0 N/A 15.43 3.00 2
03/30 WAS 0.1 29 1 2 4 N/A 27.01 4.50 -5
03/28 TEX 1.0 18 2 0 0 N/A 0.00 1.00 4
Totals: 20.045429914 56
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 TB 35 27.1 463 29 9 0 0-3 3.95 1.21 9.6 60
2018 TB 70 52.1 1038 80 29 8 1-6 2.92 1.36 13.8 215
2019 TB 35 25.1 586 39 27 7 1-6 5.68 2.21 13.9 96
2020 TB 11 10.2 241 17 9 0 0-0 5.06 1.78 14.3 23
2021 PHI 63 54.1 1018 66 46 5 6-1 4.31 1.6 10.9 154
2022 PHI 68 60.0 1032 91 27 3 5-2 3.45 1.22 13.7 182
2023 PHI 50 49.1 855 70 21 10 0-1 2.01 1.2 12.8 173
2024 PHI 67 60.0 1074 64 30 13 2-5 4.5 1.33 9.6 169
2025 PHI 28 26.0 457 32 7 7 4-2 3.81 1.31 11.1 101
2026 PHI 28 20.0 454 29 9 1 3-1 6.3 1.9 13.1 56
ON PACE 68 50 1114 71 22 2 7-2 6.3 1.9 13.1 136
3-YEAR AVG 48 43 795 55 19 10 2-3 3.45 1.29 11.2 148
Career 455 373.2 7218 517 214 0 0-0 4 1.47 12.5

Alvarado Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
2.7 0.725 0 0.6 2.6 4.5 12.6 4.0 0.1 43.7 8.75
ERA WHIP SAVES HOLDS WINS SO K/BB K/9 SVHD IP LOSSES PC FPTS
1.688 0.413 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 4.6 12.6 0.3 2.2 0 17.5 3.5
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Philadelphia Phillies

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
J.T. Realmuto 23% 19%
NAME OWN START
Bryce Harper 100% 97%
Alec Bohm 38% 30%
Aidan Miller 3% 0%
NAME OWN START
Trea Turner 98% 90%
Bryson Stott 46% 33%
Edmundo Sosa 2% 1%
Dylan Moore 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Kyle Schwarber 100% 98%
Brandon Marsh 75% 70%
Adolis Garcia 24% 19%
Justin Crawford 12% 7%
NAME OWN START
Cristopher Sanchez 100% 89%
Zack Wheeler 100% 84%
Jesus Luzardo 99% 68%
Aaron Nola 60% 43%
Andrew Painter 17% 9%
NAME OWN START
Jhoan Duran 98% 96%
Brad Keller 22% 22%
Orion Kerkering 9% 9%
Jose Alvarado 4% 3%
Tanner Banks 1% 0%

Team Rankings

AVG
.229
29th
R
267
24th
HR
83
8th
RBI
260
24th
SB
53
9th
OBP
.298
28th
SLG
.389
14th
OPS
.687
26th
W
36
7th
SV
21
7th
ERA
4.02
13th
WHIP
1.29
18th
QS
29
4th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
BravesBraves45-21.682-344228
PhilliesPhillies36-30.5459267283
NationalsNationals34-33.50711.5356351
MarlinsMarlins31-35.47014276296
MetsMets29-36.44615.5265270

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
J.T. Realmuto4414214303112.211  
Rafael Marchán236847260.103  
Garrett Stubbs112034010.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Bryce Harper66230416014375.261  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Bryson Stott60205184562911.220  
Edmundo Sosa369811203172.204  
Dylan Moore151230001.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Alec Bohm6222619517311.226  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Trea Turner65266406072114.226  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Brandon Marsh6121634728305.333  
Adolis García6522521457213.200  
Justin Crawford6018417432138.234  
Felix Reyes123826120.158  
Steward Berroa4701010.143  
Otto Kemp132502000.080  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Kyle Schwarber63239405723401.238  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Cristopher Sánchez1482093.11131.541.06  
Jesús Luzardo1344073.0804.561.33  
Aaron Nola1334066.0685.861.46  
Zack Wheeler851050.2482.310.83  
Andrew Painter1217058.0476.211.57  
Taijuan Walker514022.2179.132.07  
Seth Johnson30003.247.362.18  
Nolan Hoffman30004.223.861.93  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Jhoan Duran23121621.2331.250.83  
Brad Keller2921328.2303.451.26  
José Alvarado2831122.1295.641.70  
Orion Kerkering2730124.1272.221.23  
Tim Mayza2511029.0273.411.00  
Jonathan Bowlan1920020.1213.981.13  
Zach Pop70007.163.681.09  
Tanner Banks2203023.2276.091.90  
Kyle Backhus100009.2104.661.24  
Alan Rangel10003.053.001.00  
Chase Shugart1620020.1232.210.93  

Owned Breakdown

Add/Drop Advice

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
06-08 @TORW 2-5Cristopher Sanchez
Patrick Corbin
06-09 @TOR07:07 EDTZack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
06-10 @TOR07:07 EDTJesus Luzardo
Max Scherzer
06-12 @MIL07:40 EDTAndrew Painter
Jacob Misiorowski
06-13 @MIL07:10 EDTAaron Nola
Shane Drohan
06-14 @MIL02:10 EDTCristopher Sanchez
Kyle Harrison

Player Timeline

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Walker Buehler SD SP +11.4
Grant Holmes ATL SP +10.6
Colton Cowser BAL RF +9.0
Matt McLain CIN 2B +8.8
Alex Lange KC RP +8.7
Dustin May STL SP +8.3
Brandon Marsh PHI LF +8.0
Troy Melton DET SP +8.0
Brandon Valenzuela TOR C +7.7
Stephen Kolek KC SP +7.3
J.T. Ginn ATH SP +6.9
Jung Hoo Lee SF RF +6.4
Braden Montgomery CHW RF +6.1
Jake Bauers MIL 1B +5.9
Trent Grisham NYY CF +5.7
Cade Cavalli WAS SP -10.7
Randy Vasquez SD SP -9.0
Jameson Taillon CHC SP -8.2
Aaron Nola PHI SP -8.0
Joey Cantillo CLE SP -7.1
Emmet Sheehan LAD SP -6.4
David Sandlin CHW SP -5.5
Shane Baz BAL SP -5.4
Sean Manaea NYM RP -5.2
Michael McGreevy STL SP -4.5
Jack Flaherty DET SP -4.4
Ryan O'Hearn PIT RF -4.3
Jorge Mateo ATL SS -4.1
Salvador Perez KC C -3.9
Connor Prielipp MIN SP -3.5