| IP | ERA | W-L | HLD | SV | K/BB | K/9 | WHIP | FSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.0 | 6.3 | 3-1 | 7 | 1 | 29/9 | 13.1 | 1.9 | 7.13 |
| Compared to same point last season | ||||||||
| 20.0 | 2.70 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | 25/4 | 11.3 | 1.20 | |
Alvarado battles severe ratio inflation in late-inning setup role
Jose Alvarado continues to serve as the primary late-inning setup option for the second-place Phillies, who currently hold a 35-30 record. Over his last five appearances (4.2 innings), he has shown encouraging signs of stability with a 4.29 ERA and an excellent 0.95 WHIP. With fellow reliever Kyle Backhus sidelined with an elbow injury, Alvarado's high-leverage role remains highly secure.
Despite these recent improvements, Alvarado's season-long 7.04 ERA and 2.12 WHIP over 17.9 innings represent a massive liability. While our models project a rest-of-season correction toward a much safer 3.51 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, his current walk rate and base-runner traffic are a far cry from his career norms. Fantasy managers must see sustained control before trusting him.
This week, the Phillies travel to Toronto and Milwaukee for a six-game road trip. Our models project Alvarado for four innings and 2.6 strikeouts, but challenging matchups against Milwaukee's elite pitching staff, including Jacob Misiorowski (1.50 ERA), may limit late-game save or hold opportunities. Because of his ongoing ratio risks, we recommend you Sit him this week.
Updated 1 day ago
| DATE | OPP | INN | PC | K | WLK | ER | DEC | ERA | WHIP | PTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | CHW | 1.0 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | WIN | 6.30 | 1.90 | 9 | |
| 06/04 | SD | 1.0 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | N/A | 6.63 | 1.95 | 0 | |
| 06/02 | SD | 1.0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | WIN | 6.00 | 1.94 | 7 | |
| 05/30 | @LAD | 0.2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 6.35 | 2.06 | 1 | |
| 05/27 | @SD | 1.0 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | SAVE | 6.61 | 2.14 | 9 | |
| 05/20 | CIN | 1.0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | N/A | 7.04 | 2.22 | 0 | |
| 05/18 | CIN | 0.2 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | N/A | 6.28 | 2.23 | -1 | |
| 05/15 | @PIT | 1.0 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | WIN | 5.93 | 2.12 | 10 | |
| 05/14 | @BOS | 1.0 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | HOLD | 6.40 | 2.21 | 1 | |
| 05/12 | @BOS | 0.2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | HOLD | 6.17 | 2.23 | 2 | |
| 05/08 | COL | 1.0 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 6.55 | 2.36 | 4 | |
| 05/06 | ATH | 0.2 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | N/A | 7.20 | 2.60 | 2 | |
| 05/04 | @MIA | 1.0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | HOLD | 7.71 | 2.57 | 3 | |
| 05/01 | @MIA | 0.1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | HOLD | 8.64 | 2.88 | 1 | |
| 04/30 | SF | 0.2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | N/A | 9.00 | 2.75 | 1 | |
| 04/25 | @ATL | 1.1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 7.45 | 1.97 | 2 | |
| 04/23 | @CHC | 1.0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | N/A | 8.64 | 2.16 | 2 | |
| 04/21 | @CHC | 0.1 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | N/A | 9.82 | 2.18 | -1 | |
| 04/18 | ATL | 1.0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 9.00 | 1.86 | 3 | |
| 04/15 | CHC | 1.0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 10.50 | 2.00 | 3 | |
| 04/12 | ARI | 0.1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | LOSS | 12.60 | 2.40 | -7 | |
| 04/11 | ARI | 0.1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | HOLD | 9.64 | 2.14 | 1 | |
| 04/08 | @SF | 0.2 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | N/A | 10.39 | 2.31 | 1 | |
| 04/06 | @SF | 1.0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | HOLD | 9.82 | 2.18 | 3 | |
| 04/04 | @COL | 0.1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | HOLD | 13.50 | 3.00 | 1 | |
| 04/01 | WAS | 1.0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 15.43 | 3.00 | 2 | |
| 03/30 | WAS | 0.1 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 4 | N/A | 27.01 | 4.50 | -5 | |
| 03/28 | TEX | 1.0 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | N/A | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4 | |
| Totals: | 20.0 | 454 | 29 | 9 | 14 | 56 | |||||
| YEAR | TM | APP | INN | PC | K | WLK | SV | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | TB | 35 | 27.1 | 463 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 0-3 | 3.95 | 1.21 | 9.6 | 60 |
| 2018 | TB | 70 | 52.1 | 1038 | 80 | 29 | 8 | 1-6 | 2.92 | 1.36 | 13.8 | 215 |
| 2019 | TB | 35 | 25.1 | 586 | 39 | 27 | 7 | 1-6 | 5.68 | 2.21 | 13.9 | 96 |
| 2020 | TB | 11 | 10.2 | 241 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 0-0 | 5.06 | 1.78 | 14.3 | 23 |
| 2021 | PHI | 63 | 54.1 | 1018 | 66 | 46 | 5 | 6-1 | 4.31 | 1.6 | 10.9 | 154 |
| 2022 | PHI | 68 | 60.0 | 1032 | 91 | 27 | 3 | 5-2 | 3.45 | 1.22 | 13.7 | 182 |
| 2023 | PHI | 50 | 49.1 | 855 | 70 | 21 | 10 | 0-1 | 2.01 | 1.2 | 12.8 | 173 |
| 2024 | PHI | 67 | 60.0 | 1074 | 64 | 30 | 13 | 2-5 | 4.5 | 1.33 | 9.6 | 169 |
| 2025 | PHI | 28 | 26.0 | 457 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 4-2 | 3.81 | 1.31 | 11.1 | 101 |
| 2026 | PHI | 28 | 20.0 | 454 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 3-1 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 56 |
| ON PACE | 68 | 50 | 1114 | 71 | 22 | 2 | 7-2 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 136 | |
| 3-YEAR AVG | 48 | 43 | 795 | 55 | 19 | 10 | 2-3 | 3.45 | 1.29 | 11.2 | 148 | |
| Career | 455 | 373.2 | 7218 | 517 | 214 | 0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1.47 | 12.5 | ||
| ERA | WHIP | QS | WINS | SO | K/BB | K/9 | IP | LOSSES | PC | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7 | 0.725 | 0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 4.5 | 12.6 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 43.7 | 8.75 |
| ERA | WHIP | SAVES | HOLDS | WINS | SO | K/BB | K/9 | SVHD | IP | LOSSES | PC | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.688 | 0.413 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.6 | 12.6 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 17.5 | 3.5 |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | 23% | 19% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 100% | 97% |
| Alec Bohm | 38% | 30% |
| Aidan Miller | 3% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | 98% | 90% |
| Bryson Stott | 46% | 33% |
| Edmundo Sosa | 2% | 1% |
| Dylan Moore | 2% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 100% | 98% |
| Brandon Marsh | 75% | 70% |
| Adolis Garcia | 24% | 19% |
| Justin Crawford | 12% | 7% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez | 100% | 89% |
| Zack Wheeler | 100% | 84% |
| Jesus Luzardo | 99% | 68% |
| Aaron Nola | 60% | 43% |
| Andrew Painter | 17% | 9% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Jhoan Duran | 98% | 96% |
| Brad Keller | 22% | 22% |
| Orion Kerkering | 9% | 9% |
| Jose Alvarado | 4% | 3% |
| Tanner Banks | 1% | 0% |
| Team | W-L | Win % | GB | RS | RA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45-21 | .682 | - | 344 | 228 | |
| 36-30 | .545 | 9 | 267 | 283 | |
| 34-33 | .507 | 11.5 | 356 | 351 | |
| 31-35 | .470 | 14 | 276 | 296 | |
| 29-36 | .446 | 15.5 | 265 | 270 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | 44 | 142 | 14 | 30 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .211 | |
| Rafael Marchán | 23 | 68 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | .103 | |
| Garrett Stubbs | 11 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 66 | 230 | 41 | 60 | 14 | 37 | 5 | .261 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Stott | 60 | 205 | 18 | 45 | 6 | 29 | 11 | .220 | |
| Edmundo Sosa | 36 | 98 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 2 | .204 | |
| Dylan Moore | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 62 | 226 | 19 | 51 | 7 | 31 | 1 | .226 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner | 65 | 266 | 40 | 60 | 7 | 21 | 14 | .226 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Marsh | 61 | 216 | 34 | 72 | 8 | 30 | 5 | .333 | |
| Adolis García | 65 | 225 | 21 | 45 | 7 | 21 | 3 | .200 | |
| Justin Crawford | 60 | 184 | 17 | 43 | 2 | 13 | 8 | .234 | |
| Felix Reyes | 12 | 38 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .158 | |
| Steward Berroa | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .143 | |
| Otto Kemp | 13 | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .080 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | 63 | 239 | 40 | 57 | 23 | 40 | 1 | .238 |
| Player | GP | W | L | SV | IP | SO | ERA | WHIP | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sánchez | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 93.1 | 113 | 1.54 | 1.06 | |
| Jesús Luzardo | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 73.0 | 80 | 4.56 | 1.33 | |
| Aaron Nola | 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 66.0 | 68 | 5.86 | 1.46 | |
| Zack Wheeler | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 50.2 | 48 | 2.31 | 0.83 | |
| Andrew Painter | 12 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 58.0 | 47 | 6.21 | 1.57 | |
| Taijuan Walker | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 22.2 | 17 | 9.13 | 2.07 | |
| Seth Johnson | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 4 | 7.36 | 2.18 | |
| Nolan Hoffman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | 2 | 3.86 | 1.93 |
| Player | GP | W | L | SV | IP | SO | ERA | WHIP | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jhoan Duran | 23 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 21.2 | 33 | 1.25 | 0.83 | |
| Brad Keller | 29 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 28.2 | 30 | 3.45 | 1.26 | |
| José Alvarado | 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22.1 | 29 | 5.64 | 1.70 | |
| Orion Kerkering | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24.1 | 27 | 2.22 | 1.23 | |
| Tim Mayza | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29.0 | 27 | 3.41 | 1.00 | |
| Jonathan Bowlan | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20.1 | 21 | 3.98 | 1.13 | |
| Zach Pop | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1 | 6 | 3.68 | 1.09 | |
| Tanner Banks | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23.2 | 27 | 6.09 | 1.90 | |
| Kyle Backhus | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.2 | 10 | 4.66 | 1.24 | |
| Alan Rangel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 5 | 3.00 | 1.00 | |
| Chase Shugart | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20.1 | 23 | 2.21 | 0.93 |
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| DATE | OPP | SCORE | MATCHUP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 | @TOR | W 2-5 | Cristopher Sanchez Patrick Corbin |
| 06-09 | @TOR | 07:07 EDT | Zack Wheeler Dylan Cease |
| 06-10 | @TOR | 07:07 EDT | Jesus Luzardo Max Scherzer |
| 06-12 | @MIL | 07:40 EDT | Andrew Painter Jacob Misiorowski |
| 06-13 | @MIL | 07:10 EDT | Aaron Nola Shane Drohan |
| 06-14 | @MIL | 02:10 EDT | Cristopher Sanchez Kyle Harrison |
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| Walker Buehler SD SP | +11.4 |
| Grant Holmes ATL SP | +10.6 |
| Colton Cowser BAL RF | +9.0 |
| Matt McLain CIN 2B | +8.8 |
| Alex Lange KC RP | +8.7 |
| Dustin May STL SP | +8.3 |
| Brandon Marsh PHI LF | +8.0 |
| Troy Melton DET SP | +8.0 |
| Brandon Valenzuela TOR C | +7.7 |
| Stephen Kolek KC SP | +7.3 |
| J.T. Ginn ATH SP | +6.9 |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF RF | +6.4 |
| Braden Montgomery CHW RF | +6.1 |
| Jake Bauers MIL 1B | +5.9 |
| Trent Grisham NYY CF | +5.7 |
| Cade Cavalli WAS SP | -10.7 |
| Randy Vasquez SD SP | -9.0 |
| Jameson Taillon CHC SP | -8.2 |
| Aaron Nola PHI SP | -8.0 |
| Joey Cantillo CLE SP | -7.1 |
| Emmet Sheehan LAD SP | -6.4 |
| David Sandlin CHW SP | -5.5 |
| Shane Baz BAL SP | -5.4 |
| Sean Manaea NYM RP | -5.2 |
| Michael McGreevy STL SP | -4.5 |
| Jack Flaherty DET SP | -4.4 |
| Ryan O'Hearn PIT RF | -4.3 |
| Jorge Mateo ATL SS | -4.1 |
| Salvador Perez KC C | -3.9 |
| Connor Prielipp MIN SP | -3.5 |