Best Early NFL Bets Week 3: Patriots @ Jets Over/Under, Broncos @ Dolphins Spread
I can’t believe that it’s already Week 3. Time just flies by when you’re having fun. I love looking at early betting lines and game totals because you can often get a line or total that isn’t heavily influenced by what the “public” is on. What you see on Monday-Wednesday is almost assuredly different than what you will see on Saturday and Sunday.
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Best Early Bets NFL Week 3
Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins -6.5
The Broncos have looked terrible for most of the season and lost games in both Week and Week 2 against teams that will be lucky to win more than seven or eight games all season. Their defense hasn’t lived up to expectations and the offense, despite putting up a lot of points in Week 2, did most of it early on in the game and the rest came in garbage time and on a prayer of a hail-mary. Both the losses also came at home in Denver; now they have to head onto the road to take on a Dolphins team that is 2-0 on the season and won both their games on the road. The Dolphins' offense looks to be the best in the NFL, and their defense improved a lot from Week 1 to Week 2 and will continue to improve as they get healthier and more comfortable in Vic Fangio’s defense. This is the type of game that the Dolphins could run away with thanks to their explosive offense and the inconsistencies of the Broncos' offense. One thing I will say about this line is that if it moves to 7.5, I will likely avoid it. It opened at 7.0 on Monday, moved to 6.5, and if it remains there, I’m all in. If it moves back up to 7.0, I would suggest buying half a point and making it 6.5, just so you can avoid a possible push.
New England Patriots @ New York Jets UNDER 37 Total Points
The Patriots have lost two tough games to begin the season, games that were incredibly close and could have been won had one play gone differently. They are likely to play in another close game this week in what should be a defensive showdown between them and the Jets. The Jets won a huge game in Week 1 before having to play in Dallas in Week 2. Their defense held up for the most part, but their offense just couldn’t do enough. This weekend’s game sets up to be very low scoring, a game in which neither team will score 20 points, and we will see a lot of running the football on both sides. The Patriots are averaging 18.5 points so far this season, while the Jets are averaging 16 points per game. I don’t think either team will reach their season average in this game, and if you have either team’s kicker in fantasy football, you should start them. I would bet on the under for this game and also bet that the teams combine to kick five or more field goals.
Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks -6
The Panthers' offense is going to struggle this year. Simply put, they have a decent run game and a passing game that has potential but will deal with growing pains throughout the season with a rookie QB. After a tough Week 1 for Seattle, where they suffered key injuries to their offensive line, they were able to rebound in Week 2, and the passing attack was in mid-season form as Geno Smith threw for over 328 yards and two TDs and got all his big weapons involved. The Seahawks are a very explosive offense that can beat you in many different ways, and simply put, this Panthers offense just cannot keep up with them. The Panthers' defense also doesn’t have the personnel to stop three stud WRs in D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and when Seattle scores 27-30 points in this game, they will easily come away with a win against a Panthers team that will likely average under 20 points per game this season.
6-Game Pick’em Parlay:
- 49ers beat Giants
- Cowboys beat Cardinals
- Chiefs beat Bears
- Jaguars beat Texans
- Dolphins beat Broncos
- Seahawks beat Panthers
