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SF
ARI
o42.5
-4.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW
CAR
ATL
o47.5
-8
1:00PM • PREVIEW
CLE
BAL
o41.5
-17.5
4:30PM • PREVIEW
WAS
DAL
o44
+5
1:00PM • PREVIEW
KC
DEN
o40
-10.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW
MIN
DET
o56
-3
8:20PM • PREVIEW
CHI
GB
o41
-10
1:00PM • PREVIEW
JAX
IND
o45
-5
1:00PM • PREVIEW
SEA
LAR
o38.5
+6.5
4:25PM • PREVIEW
LAC
LV
o41
+5
4:25PM • PREVIEW
BUF
NE
o38
+2.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW
MIA
NYJ
o39
+1
4:25PM • PREVIEW
NYG
PHI
o37.5
-3
1:00PM • PREVIEW
CIN
PIT
o48
+1.5
8:00PM • PREVIEW
NO
TB
o43.5
-13.5
1:00PM • PREVIEW
HOU
TEN
o38.5
+1
1:00PM • PREVIEW

2021 nfl DRAFT BUSTS & SURPRISES

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Biggest draft busts and surprises are calculated based on the most popular scoring settings with PPR. Average Draft Position are based on our in-house ADPs. Players are sorted by their ADP by default.

We have included two separate calculations for draft busts. One includes the fantasy playoffs and the other does not.

THROUGH WEEK 17 THROUGH WEEK 14
AVG Pick Player GP POS Rank FPTS GP POS Rank FPTS
22.28 Patrick Mahomes 15 4QB 315 13 5QB 263
33.15 Josh Allen 15 1QB 420 13 1QB 366
41.38 Kyler Murray 12 11QB 260 10 11QB 226
50.45 Lamar Jackson 12 13QB 235 12 9QB 235
58.30 Aaron Rodgers 14 6QB 299 12 7QB 255
64.23 Dak Prescott 14 3QB 266 12 2QB 224
66.98 Russell Wilson 12 22QB 191 10 22QB 170
70.30 Justin Herbert 15 2QB 336 13 3QB 296
78.63 Tom Brady 15 3QB 323 13 2QB 304
86.90 Matthew Stafford 15 7QB 298 13 4QB 276
93.53 Ryan Tannehill 15 3QB 228 13 2QB 203
100.00 Jalen Hurts 14 5QB 299 12 6QB 255
112.73 Joe Burrow 15 8QB 279 13 10QB 229
119.80 Trey Lance 5 42QB 46 5 40QB 46
124.50 Justin Fields 12 30QB 127 11 30QB 110
130.75 Matt Ryan 15 3QB 206 13 2QB 179
134.25 Baker Mayfield 13 25QB 168 12 24QB 158
135.23 Jameis Winston 7 3QB 117 7 2QB 117
140.20 Trevor Lawrence 15 3QB 173 13 2QB 150
150.88 Ben Roethlisberger 14 20QB 200 12 19QB 182
157.78 Tua Tagovailoa 11 27QB 164 9 27QB 141
158.18 Kirk Cousins 15 9QB 278 13 8QB 252
158.45 Mac Jones 15 21QB 192 13 21QB 170
164.18 Ryan Fitzpatrick 1 20QB 1 1 19QB 1
194.03 Zach Wilson 11 29QB 129 9 31QB 93
222.75 Derek Carr 15 14QB 231 13 14QB 213
225.00 Daniel Jones 11 3QB 168 11 2QB 168
227.50 Sam Darnold 10 28QB 141 9 28QB 132
232.75 Carson Wentz 15 12QB 236 13 13QB 213
235.50 Jared Goff 13 23QB 177 12 25QB 156
240.75 Teddy Bridgewater 14 19QB 203 13 17QB 198
262.75 Tyrod Taylor 6 35QB 82 6 34QB 82
279.00 Deshaun Watson 0 3QB 0 0 2QB 0
318.25 Taysom Hill 10 3QB 94 9 2QB 85
336.75 Jimmy Garoppolo 14 3QB 215 12 2QB 188
340.75 Davis Mills 11 3QB 121 9 2QB 88
351.50 Drew Lock 4 52QB 14 2 56QB 2
356.75 Andy Dalton 6 39QB 58 6 38QB 58
400.75 Jordan Love 4 54QB 12 4 52QB 12
414.25 Gardner Minshew 2 3QB 19 2 2QB 19
420.25 Taylor Heinicke 14 17QB 208 13 15QB 204
421.25 Jacob Eason 1 3QB -1 1 2QB -1
430.25 Marcus Mariota 5 55QB 11 4 53QB 11
455.25 Mitchell Trubisky 4 61QB 8 4 55QB 8
482.50 Kyle Trask 0 0 0 0
494.25 Jacoby Brissett 9 37QB 72 8 36QB 72
499.50 Mike White 4 3QB 44 4 2QB 44
504.25 Mason Rudolph 2 49QB 18 1 50QB 15
506.25 Joe Flacco 2 46QB 24 2 46QB 24
510.00 Tyler Huntley 5 38QB 65 4 44QB 29
511.25 Kellen Mond 0 3QB 0 0 2QB 0
516.25 P.J. Walker 5 20QB 14 5 19QB 14
518.25 Nick Mullens 1 56QB 10 0 58QB 0
522.75 Blaine Gabbert 5 3QB 2 4 2QB 2
524.75 Brandon Allen 3 4 3 4
526.50 Chad Henne 4 3QB 3 3 2QB 3
537.25 C.J. Beathard 2 2 2 2
538.00 Bryce Perkins 0 3QB 0 0 2QB 0
539.00 Brian Hoyer 4 3QB 10 4 2QB 10
540.50 Feleipe Franks 3 -1 3 -1
542.25 Ian Book 1 2 0 0
543.75 Kyle Allen 2 59QB 8 1 57QB 1
529.75 Will Grier 0 3QB 0 0 2QB 0
N/A Geno Smith 4 40QB 54 4 39QB 54
N/A Cooper Rush 2 47QB 24 3 48QB 17
N/A Tim Boyle 1 58QB 9 2 60QB -1

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Waiver Trends

More Trends
Tank Bigsby JAC RB +2.0
Ameer Abdullah LV RB +1.6
Blake Corum LAR RB +1.4
Jaleel McLaughlin DEN RB +1.2
Tyler Allgeier ATL RB +1.0
Jalen McMillan TB WR +1.0
Brandon McManus GB K +1.0
Ravens DST BAL DST +0.9
Raheem Blackshear CAR RB +0.8
Brenton Strange JAC TE +0.7
Cole Kmet CHI TE +0.7
Antonio Gibson NE RB +0.6
Elijah Moore CLE WR +0.6
Geno Smith SEA QB +0.6
Ray Davis BUF RB +0.5
Kenneth Walker SEA RB -2.1
Marvin Harrison ARI WR -1.7
Travis Etienne JAC RB -1.7
Steelers DST PIT DST -1.6
Michael Pittman IND WR -1.2
Tyrone Tracy NYG RB -1.2
Jalen Hurts PHI QB -1.1
Brock Purdy SF QB -1.0
Chuba Hubbard CAR RB -1.0
Eagles DST PHI DST -0.8
Chris Boswell PIT K -0.8
David Montgomery DET RB -0.8
Younghoe Koo ATL K -0.8
Jerome Ford CLE RB -0.8
Brian Robinson WAS RB -0.7

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