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Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly

SP • Arizona Diamondbacks Proj Rank 67 Actual 132 201 ADP • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
58.15.715-437/255.71.499.00
Compared to same point last season
82.03.186-279/218.70.99

Merrill Kelly | Fantasy Outlook

Merrill Kelly looks to rebound in a highly favorable matchup against Miami after recent bumps

Merrill Kelly has hit some turbulence recently, pitching to a 5.79 ERA over his last three starts and enduring a rough five-inning outing in his last appearance. He remains entrenched as the number three starter in the rotation for the second-place Diamondbacks, who currently sport a 34-31 record in the competitive NL West.

While Kelly's current 5.80 ERA and 1.52 WHIP over 10 starts are alarming, his underlying metrics and track record suggest better days are ahead. Our models project him to stabilize with a 3.98 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, much closer to his career baselines. The extreme ratio inflation is likely a temporary fluke, as his four quality starts this season prove he can still suppress opposing lineups when his command is on point.

The veteran right-hander has a single-start week ahead, scheduled to take the mound on June 11 on the road against the Marlins. He is lined up to face Tyler Phillips, offering an excellent opportunity to correct course against a bottom-tier Miami offense. Given the highly favorable matchup, fantasy managers should trust him. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Merrill Kelly Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
06/05 WAS 5.0 85 4 3 7 LOSS 5.71 1.49 -3
05/31 @SEA 5.1 97 2 2 2 N/A 5.06 1.46 6
05/25 @SF 7.0 96 4 2 2 WIN 5.25 1.42 21
05/20 SF 6.0 85 4 0 3 WIN 5.71 1.51 17
05/15 @COL 9.0 100 3 0 1 WIN 5.91 1.54 31
05/09 NYM 7.0 96 6 3 1 WIN 7.62 1.92 24
05/03 @CHC 4.1 92 5 3 6 LOSS 9.95 2.32 -3
04/28 @MIL 5.0 104 1 5 5 LOSS 9.20 2.25 -5
04/21 CHW 4.1 101 5 3 8 LOSS 9.31 2.28 -6
04/14 @BAL 5.1 86 3 4 2 WIN 3.38 1.69 12
Totals: 58.1942372537 95
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 ARI 32 181.0 2962 158 57 0 13-14 4.48 1.33 7.9 377
2020 ARI 5 31.1 473 29 5 0 3-2 2.59 0.99 8.3 85
2021 ARI 27 158.0 2425 130 41 0 7-11 4.44 1.29 7.4 276
2022 ARI 32 195.0 2988 170 59 0 13-8 3.42 1.14 7.9 450
2023 ARI 34 199.1 3161 215 77 0 15-9 3.3 1.16 9.7 519
2024 ARI 13 73.2 1142 63 19 0 5-1 4.03 1.17 7.7 169
2025 ARI 32 181.2 2833 167 48 0 12-9 3.57 1.13 8.3 430
2026 ARI 10 58.1 942 37 25 0 5-4 5.71 1.49 5.7 95
ON PACE 24 145 2347 92 62 0 12-9 5.71 1.49 5.7 237
3-YEAR AVG 26 151 2379 148 48 0 11-6 3.5 1.15 8.8 373
Career 185 1071.1 16926 969 331 0 0-0 3.91 1.22 8.1

Kelly Projection

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ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
4.006 1.061 0.4 0.4 3.8 1.9 6.1 7.1 0.4 91.9 9.9
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

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Depth Chart

Arizona Diamondbacks

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Gabriel Moreno 50% 42%
Adrian Del Castillo 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Ildemaro Vargas 54% 27%
Nolan Arenado 43% 29%
Jose Fernandez 6% 2%
Pavin Smith 1% 1%
LuJames Groover 1% 0%
Carlos Santana 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Ketel Marte 100% 89%
Geraldo Perdomo 91% 73%
Jordan Lawlar 10% 0%
NAME OWN START
Corbin Carroll 100% 91%
Ryan Waldschmidt 24% 13%
Tommy Troy 5% 3%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 4% 0%
Druw Jones 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Michael Soroka 88% 61%
Eduardo Rodriguez 76% 47%
Merrill Kelly 50% 22%
Ryne Nelson 48% 23%
Zac Gallen 47% 30%
Corbin Burnes 26% 0%
Brandon Pfaadt 6% 4%
NAME OWN START
Paul Sewald 74% 71%
Juan Morillo 15% 14%
Taylor Clarke 9% 7%
A.J. Puk 3% 0%
Kevin Ginkel 3% 3%
Brandyn Garcia 2% 2%
Ryan Thompson 1% 1%

Team Rankings

AVG
.241
17th
R
283
17th
HR
58
26th
RBI
272
15th
SB
38
20th
OBP
.303
27th
SLG
.390
13th
OPS
.693
24th
W
34
10th
SV
17
14th
ERA
4.19
17th
WHIP
1.27
12th
QS
25
8th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
DodgersDodgers42-24.636-345212
PadresPadres34-31.5237.5247261
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks34-31.5237.5283293
GiantsGiants27-40.40315.5275324
RockiesRockies24-42.36418284383

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Gabriel Moreno4113721354213.255  
Adrian Del Castillo411229234200.189  
Aramis Garcia71723120.176  
James McCann2259312060.203  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ildemaro Vargas5821430607371.280  
Jose Fernandez5516523423157.255  
Carlos Santana82412000.083  
Pavin Smith91823030.167  
Luken Baker3501000.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ketel Marte62244376011370.246  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nolan Arenado6019930518301.256  
LuJames Groover31002010.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Geraldo Perdomo6221527513228.237  
Jordan Lawlar61836121.333  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Corbin Carroll62228416510317.285  
Alek Thomas289412172104.181  
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.25927211111.228  
Jorge Barrosa46961116170.167  
Tim Tawa2959610180.169  
Tommy Troy1440811110.275  
Ryan Waldschmidt29971027085.278  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Michael Soroka1383074.0723.281.15  
Eduardo Rodriguez1352078.2572.521.18  
Ryne Nelson1324072.1554.601.18  
Zac Gallen1335064.1435.321.52  
Merrill Kelly1054058.1375.711.49  
Brandon Pfaadt1301038.0315.921.50  
Drey Jameson10001.0118.004.00  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Paul Sewald26241523.1263.470.73  
Jonathan Loáisiga2712124.0163.001.21  
Juan Morillo2812125.2332.461.09  
Joe Ross30003.2219.643.00  
Taylor Clarke2921027.0141.670.70  
Kevin Ginkel2712025.1292.840.99  
Ryan Thompson2621021.1142.531.22  
Andrew Hoffmann810011.2127.712.06  
Taylor Rashi31003.249.821.09  
Kade Strowd10001.019.004.00  
Brandyn Garcia1500013.0110.690.77  
Philip Abner20003.2317.182.18  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
06-09 @MIA06:40 EDTZac Gallen
Max Meyer
06-10 @MIA06:40 EDTRyne Nelson
Ryan Gusto
06-11 @MIA01:10 EDTMerrill Kelly
Tyler Phillips
06-12 @CIN07:15 EDTEduardo Rodriguez
Nick Lodolo
06-13 @CIN04:10 EDTMichael Soroka
Rhett Lowder
06-14 @CIN01:40 EDTZac Gallen
Andrew Abbott

Player Timeline

May 15th

Merrill Kelly Throws First Career Complete Game, Seals It with Strikeout ...

May 9th

Diamondbacks Pitching Duo Shines Against Mets, Posts Combined 1.32 ERA

Apr 21st

Munetaka Murakami to Face Merrill Kelly for First Time Since 2023 WBC ...

Feb 15th

Merrill Kelly Turned Down Padres’ 3-Year Offer to Re-Sign with Diamondbacks ...

Dec 22nd

Merrill Kelly Re-Signs with Diamondbacks: 2-Year, $40M Deal with 2028 ...

Dec 19th

Diamondbacks Re-Sign RHP Merrill Kelly to 2-Year Deal with 2028 Vesting ...

Dec 14th

D-backs Re-Sign Pitcher Merrill Kelly to Two-Year Contract

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    @JonKrawczynski

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    @ShamsCharania

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