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Ryne Nelson

Ryne Nelson

SP • Arizona Diamondbacks Proj Rank 50 Actual 75 228 ADP • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
81.05.113-562/226.91.279.56
Compared to same point last season
50.04.143-241/167.41.14

Ryne Nelson | Fantasy Outlook

Two-Start Week for Nelson Clouded by Severe Ratio Risks

Slotting in as the number two starter for the 36-35 Diamondbacks, Ryne Nelson remains locked into his rotation spot despite severe recent struggles. Over his last two starts, he has been hit hard, compiling a dismal 7.36 ERA and 1.45 WHIP over 11.0 innings.

While his current 5.40 ERA is disappointing, our models expect positive regression, projecting a 4.19 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 161.0 innings. This is closer to his strong 3.48 ERA from last season, meaning his underlying skills are better than his current run of bad form suggests.

Nelson is scheduled for a two-start week at home, facing Walbert Urena and the Angels today, before capping the week Sunday against the Twins. Despite the appealing two-start volume, his elevated ratio risks make him too dangerous to trust in active lineups right now, making him a Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Ryne Nelson Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
06/15 LAA 7.0 95 5 0 2 WIN 5.11 1.27 21
06/10 @MIA 4.0 82 2 1 7 LOSS 5.35 1.27 -7
06/04 LAD 7.0 94 3 2 2 N/A 4.76 1.21 15
05/30 @SEA 5.1 99 3 0 4 LOSS 5.00 1.24 1
05/24 COL 8.0 103 3 3 1 WIN 4.84 1.23 22
05/19 SF 7.0 88 3 2 3 N/A 5.44 1.25 12
05/13 @TEX 7.0 88 8 0 3 N/A 5.70 1.22 20
05/08 NYM 6.2 95 7 1 1 N/A 6.06 1.35 21
05/02 @CHC 5.2 84 4 2 1 LOSS 7.14 1.55 6
04/26 SD 5.0 93 4 2 6 N/A 7.71 1.52 4
04/19 TOR 0.1 30 1 1 8 LOSS 6.97 1.45 -16
04/13 @BAL 5.1 92 7 2 1 N/A 3.54 1.03 14
04/08 @NYM 5.2 86 5 0 1 WIN 4.20 1.07 18
04/02 ATL 4.2 80 3 3 2 LOSS 5.79 1.18 2
03/27 @LAD 4.2 83 4 3 4 N/A 7.72 1.07 7
Totals: 81.01292622246 139
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 ARI 3 19.0 253 16 6 0 1-1 1.42 0.79 7.6 48
2023 ARI 32 145.2 2468 103 47 0 8-8 5.5 1.48 6.4 228
2024 ARI 28 146.0 2406 126 34 1 10-6 4.38 1.29 7.8 323
2025 ARI 33 151.2 2466 132 41 1 7-3 3.44 1.09 7.8 358
2026 ARI 15 81.0 1292 62 22 0 3-5 5.11 1.27 6.9 139
ON PACE 33 180 2867 137 48 0 6-11 5.11 1.27 6.9 308
3-YEAR AVG 31 147 2447 120 41 1 8-6 4.47 1.29 7.4 303
Career 111 541.0 8885 439 150 0 0-0 4.44 1.27 7.3

Nelson Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
3.202 2.711 1.6 1.3 8.6 1.8 5.4 14 0.3 87 22.7
AVG HR RBI R SB OBP SLG OPS 1B 2B 3B H AB BB SBN TB FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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OWN START TRENDS

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Depth Chart

Arizona Diamondbacks

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Gabriel Moreno 60% 51%
Adrian Del Castillo 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Ildemaro Vargas 38% 28%
Nolan Arenado 38% 33%
Jose Fernandez 3% 2%
Pavin Smith 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Ketel Marte 100% 96%
Geraldo Perdomo 92% 85%
Jordan Lawlar 23% 15%
NAME OWN START
Corbin Carroll 100% 99%
Ryan Waldschmidt 10% 3%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5% 1%
Tommy Troy 2% 1%
Druw Jones 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Michael Soroka 92% 62%
Eduardo Rodriguez 72% 45%
Merrill Kelly 50% 35%
Ryne Nelson 45% 34%
Zac Gallen 42% 27%
Corbin Burnes 21% 0%
Brandon Pfaadt 4% 3%
NAME OWN START
Paul Sewald 77% 77%
Juan Morillo 15% 15%
Taylor Clarke 8% 8%
Kevin Ginkel 3% 3%
A.J. Puk 3% 0%

Team Rankings

AVG
.237
24th
R
304
20th
HR
65
25th
RBI
292
21st
SB
49
16th
OBP
.305
27th
SLG
.385
22nd
OPS
.690
26th
W
37
14th
SV
20
13th
ERA
4.21
17th
WHIP
1.27
11th
QS
29
6th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
DodgersDodgers47-27.635-391248
PadresPadres37-35.5149274288
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks37-36.5079.5304330
GiantsGiants29-43.40317296352
RockiesRockies28-46.37819338426

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Gabriel Moreno4816324436244.264  
Adrian Del Castillo441299244200.186  
Aramis Garcia81923120.158  
James McCann2259312060.203  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ildemaro Vargas6322832607371.263  
Jose Fernandez5516523423157.255  
Pavin Smith143335140.152  
Carlos Santana82412000.083  
Luken Baker3501000.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Ketel Marte70279397111410.254  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nolan Arenado6823030558313.239  
LuJames Groover82715020.185  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Geraldo Perdomo70240315942511.246  
Jordan Lawlar103048144.267  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Corbin Carroll70260447212349.277  
Alek Thomas289412172104.181  
Tommy Troy20601113220.217  
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.271007221121.220  
Jorge Barrosa50991117170.172  
Tim Tawa2959610180.169  
Ryan Waldschmidt331121129085.259  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Michael Soroka1483081.0793.111.07  
Ryne Nelson1535083.1624.971.24  
Eduardo Rodriguez1452081.1602.551.23  
Zac Gallen1535075.2505.351.53  
Merrill Kelly1256069.2425.811.51  
Brandon Pfaadt1301038.0315.921.50  
Drey Jameson30005.254.771.24  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Paul Sewald30241827.1313.290.73  
Jonathan Loáisiga3012127.0173.001.15  
Juan Morillo3123128.0372.571.04  
Taylor Clarke3121029.2162.120.84  
Kevin Ginkel3022027.2322.601.12  
Ryan Thompson2921024.1162.221.15  
Andrew Hoffmann810011.2127.712.06  
Taylor Rashi31003.249.821.09  
Kade Strowd10001.019.004.00  
Brandyn Garcia1801015.2152.870.89  
Philip Abner20003.2317.182.18  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
06-15 LAAW 4-3Ryne Nelson
Walbert Urena
06-16 LAA09:40 EDTMerrill Kelly
Reid Detmers
06-17 LAA03:40 EDTEduardo Rodriguez
Sam Aldegheri
06-19 MIN09:45 EDTMichael Soroka
Connor Prielipp
06-20 MIN10:10 EDTZac Gallen
Taj Bradley
06-21 MIN03:15 EDTRyne Nelson

Player Timeline

Apr 8th

Mets Release Lineup for April 8 Game vs. Diamondbacks

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Andre Pallante STL SP +12.8
Brandon Young BAL SP +9.4
Elvis Alvarado ATH RP +7.9
Royce Lewis MIN 3B +7.7
Zack Gelof ATH 3B +7.0
Blaze Jordan STL 3B +6.3
Grant Holmes ATL SP +5.9
Edward Cabrera CHC SP +5.7
Kodai Senga NYM SP +4.9
Samad Taylor SD LF +4.8
Bryce Eldridge SF 1B +4.7
Cole Carrigg COL CF +4.5
Kumar Rocker TEX SP +4.5
Jeffrey Springs ATH SP -10.5
Christian Scott NYM SP -6.7
Vinnie Pasquantino KC 1B -6.6
Grayson Rodriguez LAA SP -6.4
Connelly Early BOS SP -6.3
Trevor Rogers BAL SP -5.3
Spencer Arrighetti HOU SP -5.2
Walker Buehler SD SP -4.7
Michael McGreevy STL SP -4.6
Andrew Abbott CIN SP -4.5
Colin Rea CHC SP -4.4
Tomoyuki Sugano COL SP -4.1
Daniel Palencia CHC RP -3.9
Spencer Strider ATL SP -3.8
Ryan Waldschmidt ARI CF -3.7