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Mitch Keller

Mitch Keller

SP • Pittsburgh Pirates Proj Rank 108 Actual 52 240 ADP • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
73.04.815-355/236.81.238.73
Compared to same point last season
76.14.131-861/207.21.27

Mitch Keller | Fantasy Outlook

Mitch Keller struggles with severe ratio bloat ahead of a high-risk matchup against the Dodgers.

Mitch Keller has hit a massive rough patch, posting a disastrous 14.27 ERA and 2.56 WHIP over his last two starts. He currently slots in as the number two starter in the rotation for the third-place Pirates, who enter the week with a 34-32 record. While Pittsburgh is missing depth with Joey Bart and Konnor Griffin on the injured list, Keller's role remains secure.

This brutal stretch is a stark contrast to his strong early-season form and our projection of a 4.24 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Keller's current 4.90 ERA is inflated by a staggering 8.78 ERA over the last 30 days. While a return closer to his career norm of around a 4.25 ERA is expected, fantasy managers must wait for signs of stabilization.

Keller is scheduled for just one start on June 11 at home against the potent Dodgers. He faces a tough matchup against Justin Wrobleski, who boasts a stellar 2.62 ERA and 1.00 WHIP this season. Given Keller's cold streak and our projected 7.92 ERA for the outing, fantasy managers should sit him this week.

Updated 1 day ago

Mitch Keller Fantasy

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DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
06/05 @ATL 4.2 99 4 3 6 LOSS 4.81 1.23 -3
05/30 MIN 4.0 77 5 1 7 N/A 4.35 1.17 1
05/24 @TOR 6.0 101 5 3 1 WIN 3.64 1.07 21
05/19 @STL 5.2 83 3 1 4 N/A 3.86 1.06 8
05/13 COL 5.2 80 3 1 6 LOSS 3.59 1.08 -1
05/07 @ARI 6.0 84 4 2 2 WIN 2.87 1.04 19
05/01 CIN 7.0 104 6 1 1 WIN 2.85 1.05 25
04/25 @MIL 5.0 93 6 2 3 N/A 3.18 1.15 10
04/19 TB 7.0 89 5 0 2 WIN 2.79 1.10 23
04/14 WAS 4.0 90 3 4 5 LOSS 2.86 1.23 -4
04/08 SD 6.0 75 4 1 0 N/A 1.00 0.94 17
04/03 BAL 6.0 88 4 4 2 WIN 1.50 1.08 17
03/28 @NYM 6.0 77 3 0 0 N/A 0.00 0.50 17
Totals: 73.01140552339 148
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 PIT 11 48.0 932 65 16 0 1-5 7.13 1.83 12.2 71
2020 PIT 5 21.2 385 16 18 0 1-1 2.91 1.25 6.7 43
2021 PIT 23 102.0 1858 92 49 0 5-11 6.09 1.76 8.1 107
2022 PIT 31 159.0 2661 138 60 0 5-12 3.91 1.4 7.8 280
2023 PIT 32 194.1 3122 210 55 0 13-9 4.17 1.25 9.7 466
2024 PIT 31 178.0 2851 166 50 0 11-12 4.25 1.3 8.4 367
2025 PIT 32 174.0 2870 150 51 0 6-15 4.24 1.28 7.8 316
2026 PIT 13 73.0 1140 55 23 0 5-3 4.81 1.23 6.8 148
ON PACE 31 180 2798 135 56 0 12-7 4.81 1.23 6.8 363
3-YEAR AVG 32 180 2948 175 52 0 10-12 4.22 1.28 8.7 383
Career 178 943.0 15819 892 322 0 0-0 4.56 1.38 8.5

Keller Projection

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ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
7.999 1.656 0.3 0.2 4.4 2.4 7.9 5.0 0.4 88.8 5.9
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

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Depth Chart

Pittsburgh Pirates

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Endy Rodriguez 2% 1%
Henry Davis 1% 1%
NAME OWN START
Jared Jones 61% 15%
Nick Gonzales 43% 35%
Spencer Horwitz 37% 24%
Jared Triolo 2% 1%
NAME OWN START
Brandon Lowe 98% 63%
Konnor Griffin 86% 7%
NAME OWN START
Oneil Cruz 99% 70%
Bryan Reynolds 95% 72%
Ryan O'Hearn 79% 51%
Marcell Ozuna 7% 1%
Jake Mangum 4% 3%
Edward Florentino 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Paul Skenes 100% 83%
Braxton Ashcraft 96% 64%
Jared Jones 61% 15%
Mitch Keller 55% 26%
Bubba Chandler 52% 34%
Carmen Mlodzinski 9% 7%
Seth Hernandez 6% 0%
NAME OWN START
Gregory Soto 68% 64%
Dennis Santana 25% 22%
Wilber Dotel 3% 3%
Mason Montgomery 3% 2%
Yohan Ramirez 1% 0%

Team Rankings

AVG
.253
5th
R
333
5th
HR
75
13th
RBI
317
5th
SB
65
3rd
OBP
.335
3rd
SLG
.399
10th
OPS
.734
6th
W
34
12th
SV
13
25th
ERA
4.03
14th
WHIP
1.27
11th
QS
22
13th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
BrewersBrewers41-23.641-344238
CardinalsCardinals35-28.5565.5278280
PiratesPirates34-32.5158333303
CubsCubs34-32.5158303300
RedsReds31-34.47710.5277332

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Henry Davis4412113175171.140  
Joey Bart2158915260.259  
Endy Rodríguez1642710152.238  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Spencer Horwitz6119626568271.286  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Brandon Lowe60230405815410.252  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Nick Gonzales6022334692313.309  
Nick Yorke2776615160.197  
Jared Triolo3499922062.222  
Davis Wendzel1000000.000  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Konnor Griffin51189305142214.270  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Oneil Cruz642504566144421.264  
Ryan O'Hearn5118230529331.286  
Bryan Reynolds6623242616395.263  
Esmerlyn Valdez51622250.125  
Jake Mangum4711717341911.291  
Tyler Callihan51012021.200  
Billy Cook322154003.190  
Jhostynxon Garcia133527020.200  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Marcell Ozuna4918115355220.193  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Braxton Ashcraft1353079.2863.281.08  
Paul Skenes1365070.0822.830.90  
Bubba Chandler1327062.1624.911.44  
Mitch Keller1353073.0554.811.23  
Carmen Mlodzinski1243159.0493.661.39  
Jared Jones21009.1104.821.61  
Cam Sanders60006.089.001.83  
Hunter Barco501011.287.711.97  
José Urquidy50116.168.532.68  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Gregory Soto2941828.1342.860.88  
Dennis Santana2823225.2215.261.56  
Yohan Ramírez2832136.2414.661.31  
Chris Devenski30002.137.712.14  
Isaac Mattson2100019.2154.121.48  
Wilber Dotel710016.2171.080.72  
Evan Sisk2300028.0341.291.07  
Mason Montgomery2611025.2344.561.40  
Brandan Bidois1000011.1133.971.32  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
06-09 LAD06:40 EDTPaul Skenes
Eric Lauer
06-10 LAD06:40 EDTJared Jones
Shohei Ohtani
06-11 LAD06:40 EDTMitch Keller
Justin Wrobleski
06-12 MIA06:40 EDTBraxton Ashcraft
06-13 MIA04:05 EDTBubba Chandler
Sandy Alcantara
06-14 MIA12:15 EDTPaul Skenes

Player Timeline

Apr 4th

Pirates Wish Mitch Keller a Happy Birthday

Dec 16th

Pirates Announce Giveaway: Chance to Win Signed Mitch Keller Baseball

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