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Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle

SP • Boston Red Sox Proj Rank 23 Actual 89 N/A • Trade Value
IP ERA W-L K/BB K/9 WHIP FSP
58.13.243-460/169.31.089.63
Compared to same point last season
0.0nan0-0/NANnan

Payton Tolle | Fantasy Outlook

Elite Strikeout Upside Solidifies Tolle's Role as Boston's Rotation Anchor

Payton Tolle has quickly established himself as a focal point of the Red Sox's future, sliding into the starting rotation as the staff anchor. At just 23 years old, the towering 6-foot-6 left-hander has taken full advantage of open rotation spots caused by long-term injuries to Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck. After briefly debuting in 2025, Tolle returned to the majors in late April with immense velocity, frequently touching triple digits and flashing a devastating curveball that instantly translated to high-level strikeout production.

Our data projections expect Tolle to settle in with nearly 130 strikeouts over 54.0 remaining innings, showcasing elite dominance with well over a strikeout per inning. While his projected 4.00 ERA and 1.24 WHIP represent a slight regression from his stellar early-season ratios of a 3.29 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, his current command represents a massive step forward from the 6.11 ERA and 1.60 WHIP he posted last year. Tolle's high-octane fastball and refined secondary offerings give him the floor of a major strikeout asset even if his walks occasionally tick up.

For fantasy managers, Tolle represents an incredibly exciting high-upside investment. Though pitching for a rebuilding Boston team currently sitting last in the competitive AL East limits his win potential, his individual dominance makes him a weekly must-start. He is a high-strikeout starter who can carry fantasy categories single-handedly on his best days, making him a priority target to hold onto for the long haul.


Updated 1 day ago

Payton Tolle Fantasy

Loading...
DATE OPP INN PC K WLK ER DEC ERA WHIP PTS
06/16 TOR 5.0 90 6 2 3 LOSS 3.24 1.08 5
06/09 @TB 6.0 94 3 1 4 LOSS 3.04 1.07 1
06/03 BAL 6.0 99 5 2 0 WIN 2.66 0.99 21
05/28 ATL 4.2 94 7 2 2 N/A 3.05 0.92 11
05/22 MIN 6.0 85 9 2 3 N/A 2.95 0.85 18
05/16 @ATL 8.0 85 3 1 2 WIN 2.64 0.82 23
05/10 TB 5.0 81 4 0 3 LOSS 2.78 0.88 3
05/04 @DET 7.0 83 8 1 0 WIN 2.04 0.74 29
04/28 @TOR 4.2 68 4 4 3 LOSS 3.38 1.03 2
04/23 NYY 6.0 93 11 1 1 N/A 1.50 0.67 23
Totals: 58.1872601621 134
Fantasy Chart Loading...
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 8 16.2 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
2026 BOS 10 58.1 872 60 16 0 3-4 3.24 1.08 9.3 134
ON PACE 22 131 1962 135 36 0 6-9 3.24 1.08 9.3 301
3-YEAR AVG 8 16 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
Career 18 75.0 1183 79 24 0 0-0 3.84 1.19 9.5

Tolle Projection

View All
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
4.557 3.079 0.3 0.2 11.2 1.4 9.5 10 1.5 84 12.4
ERA WHIP QS WINS SO K/BB K/9 IP LOSSES PC FPTS
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 NAN
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OWN START TRENDS

Depth Chart

Boston Red Sox

Roster Breakdown
NAME OWN START
Carlos Narvaez 3% 1%
Mickey Gasper 2% 2%
NAME OWN START
Willson Contreras 87% 80%
Caleb Durbin 17% 12%
Triston Casas 2% 0%
Romy Gonzalez 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Trevor Story 23% 5%
Marcelo Mayer 5% 3%
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 4% 4%
Franklin Arias 3% 0%
Kristian Campbell 3% 0%
NAME OWN START
Jarren Duran 92% 88%
Wilyer Abreu 86% 78%
Ceddanne Rafaela 81% 76%
Roman Anthony 79% 10%
Masataka Yoshida 1% 0%
NAME OWN START
Sonny Gray 99% 81%
Garrett Crochet 97% 13%
Ranger Suarez 93% 71%
Payton Tolle 80% 53%
Connelly Early 64% 29%
Brayan Bello 6% 2%
Jake Bennett 3% 2%
Anthony Eyanson 2% 0%
NAME OWN START
Aroldis Chapman 98% 97%
Garrett Whitlock 22% 19%

Team Rankings

AVG
.244
15th
R
282
29th
HR
61
29th
RBI
271
30th
SB
51
16th
OBP
.311
24th
SLG
.382
26th
OPS
.693
25th
W
29
29th
SV
15
25th
ERA
3.92
10th
WHIP
1.28
13th
QS
26
10th
TeamW-LWin %GBRSRA
YankeesYankees45-28.616-381263
RaysRays41-30.5773315310
Blue JaysBlue Jays37-39.4879.5308335
OriolesOrioles35-41.46111.5349385
Red SoxRed Sox29-43.40315.5282295

Team Stats

PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Carlos Narváez411211525231.207  
Connor Wong297910210102.266  
Mickey Gasper29931125060.269  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Willson Contreras70249347216441.289  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Marcelo Mayer6418518403183.216  
Isiah Kiner-Falefa4711919332137.277  
Anthony Seigler2301000.333  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Caleb Durbin6520822404275.192  
Nate Eaton3300001.000  
Nick Sogard123539020.257  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Trevor Story4116516343194.206  
Andruw Monasterio4011111262111.234  
PlayerGPABRHHRRBISBAVGO/S
Jarren Duran672723557123711.210  
Wilyer Abreu7127731768345.274  
Ceddanne Rafaela6925130727327.287  
Roman Anthony301091225152.229  
Masataka Yoshida4914115351101.248  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Connelly Early1455075.2723.811.32  
Ranger Suárez1323070.0703.211.17  
Payton Tolle1034058.1602.931.06  
Sonny Gray1381069.1553.121.18  
Brayan Bello1226061.0446.341.67  
Garrett Crochet633030.0376.301.47  
Jake Bennett413020.2134.791.26  
Johan Oviedo10003.239.821.91  
Eduardo Rivera10003.130.000.30  
Tyler Uberstine10102.223.381.50  
PlayerGPWLSVIPSOERAWHIPO/S
Aroldis Chapman22021421.2290.830.97  
Ryan Watson2500142.2335.061.38  
Tommy Kahnle50006.041.501.67  
Danny Coulombe2102015.1105.281.37  
Tyron Guerrero1101010.1164.361.16  
Jack Anderson10003.043.000.67  
Garrett Whitlock2241021.2272.911.06  
Zack Kelly1702016.1143.311.29  
Greg Weissert3101029.0293.721.31  
Justin Slaten1603014.1186.281.61  
Tyler Samaniego2003020.1172.661.48  
Jovani Morán2112033.0383.001.06  
Joe La Sorsa10000.1127.003.00  
Alec Gamboa20001.230.000.00  
Jack Anderson30008.063.381.25  

Owned Breakdown

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Schedule

DATE OPP SCORE MATCHUP
06-16 TORL 1-6Payton Tolle
Dylan Cease
06-17 TORL 0-3Jake Bennett
Braydon Fisher
06-18 TORL 3-4Sonny Gray
Trey Yesavage
06-19 @SEA10:10 EDTRanger Suarez
Bryce Miller
06-20 @SEA04:10 EDT
06-20 @SEA10:10 EDTConnelly Early
Emerson Hancock
06-21 @SEA04:10 EDTPayton Tolle
Logan Gilbert

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