| IP | ERA | W-L | K/BB | K/9 | WHIP | FSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73.1 | 3.93 | 5-5 | 72/29 | 8.8 | 1.36 | 9.15 |
| Compared to same point last season | ||||||
| 0.0 | nan | 0-0 | / | NAN | nan | |
Rookie Connelly Early struggles with long ball ahead of tough matchup in Seattle
The last-place Red Sox have kept Connelly Early in the rotation as their number four starter, especially with multiple starting pitchers on the injured list. However, the rookie has struggled heavily of late, posting an 8.57 ERA and a bloated 2.62 WHIP over his last two starts. Recent news highlights his major vulnerability to the long ball, having surrendered 14 home runs over his last 11 outings.
While Early's recent ratio inflation is alarming, our models project him for a more stable 3.72 ERA and 1.21 WHIP over the rest of the season. His year-to-date 3.94 ERA over 73.1 innings suggests his current slide is a temporary rough patch rather than a total collapse. Expect his home run-to-flyball rate to normalize, eventually bringing his ratios back to respectable levels.
Early is scheduled for just one remaining start this week on Saturday at Seattle. He faces a tough matchup against Emerson Hancock, who boasts a strong 3.28 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. Given Early's current form and high ratio risk, fantasy managers should leave him on the bench for this turn. Verdict: Sit.
Updated 11 hrs ago
| DATE | OPP | INN | PC | K | WLK | ER | DEC | ERA | WHIP | PTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/14 | TEX | 4.2 | 91 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LOSS | 3.93 | 1.36 | -5 | |
| 06/08 | @TB | 4.2 | 96 | 6 | 4 | 2 | LOSS | 3.30 | 1.23 | 4 | |
| 06/02 | BAL | 5.1 | 96 | 6 | 1 | 4 | LOSS | 3.26 | 1.18 | 4 | |
| 05/27 | ATL | 7.0 | 97 | 7 | 3 | 0 | WIN | 2.95 | 1.16 | 26 | |
| 05/20 | @KC | 6.1 | 93 | 5 | 1 | 3 | WIN | 3.33 | 1.19 | 19 | |
| 05/15 | @ATL | 5.0 | 86 | 6 | 0 | 2 | N/A | 3.21 | 1.20 | 12 | |
| 05/08 | TB | 7.0 | 96 | 8 | 1 | 0 | WIN | 3.16 | 1.22 | 28 | |
| 05/02 | HOU | 4.0 | 77 | 3 | 3 | 5 | LOSS | 3.79 | 1.32 | -4 | |
| 04/26 | @BAL | 6.2 | 92 | 4 | 1 | 2 | WIN | 2.84 | 1.20 | 21 | |
| 04/21 | NYY | 5.1 | 92 | 4 | 3 | 3 | LOSS | 2.88 | 1.32 | 3 | |
| 04/15 | @MIN | 6.0 | 85 | 5 | 2 | 1 | WIN | 2.29 | 1.27 | 22 | |
| 04/10 | @STL | 4.1 | 86 | 5 | 2 | 1 | N/A | 2.63 | 1.54 | 9 | |
| 04/04 | SD | 4.0 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 2 | N/A | 2.89 | 1.50 | 7 | |
| 03/29 | @CIN | 5.1 | 96 | 6 | 2 | 1 | N/A | 1.69 | 1.31 | 12 | |
| Totals: | 73.1 | 1271 | 72 | 29 | 32 | 156 | |||||
| YEAR | TM | APP | INN | PC | K | WLK | SV | W-L | ERA | WHIP | K/9 | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | BOS | 5 | 23.0 | 401 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 3.13 | 1.22 | 13.7 | 49 |
| 2026 | BOS | 14 | 73.1 | 1271 | 72 | 29 | 0 | 5-5 | 3.93 | 1.36 | 8.8 | 156 |
| ON PACE | 31 | 167 | 2900 | 164 | 66 | 0 | 11-11 | 3.93 | 1.36 | 8.8 | 356 | |
| 3-YEAR AVG | 5 | 22 | 401 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 3.13 | 1.22 | 13.7 | 49 | |
| Career | 19 | 96.1 | 1672 | 107 | 34 | 0 | 0-0 | 3.74 | 1.33 | 10 | ||
| ERA | WHIP | QS | WINS | SO | K/BB | K/9 | IP | LOSSES | PC | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.4 | 1.68 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 9.4 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 91.9 | 7.6 |
| ERA | WHIP | QS | WINS | SO | K/BB | K/9 | IP | LOSSES | PC | FPTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | NAN |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Narvaez | 3% | 1% |
| Mickey Gasper | 2% | 2% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | 87% | 79% |
| Caleb Durbin | 17% | 12% |
| Triston Casas | 2% | 0% |
| Romy Gonzalez | 1% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Story | 22% | 5% |
| Marcelo Mayer | 5% | 2% |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 4% | 3% |
| Kristian Campbell | 3% | 0% |
| Franklin Arias | 3% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 92% | 85% |
| Wilyer Abreu | 84% | 75% |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 80% | 73% |
| Roman Anthony | 78% | 11% |
| Masataka Yoshida | 1% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray | 98% | 77% |
| Garrett Crochet | 96% | 12% |
| Ranger Suarez | 92% | 53% |
| Payton Tolle | 81% | 60% |
| Connelly Early | 66% | 31% |
| Brayan Bello | 6% | 3% |
| Jake Bennett | 4% | 3% |
| Anthony Eyanson | 2% | 0% |
| NAME | OWN | START |
|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 98% | 97% |
| Garrett Whitlock | 22% | 18% |
| Team | W-L | Win % | GB | RS | RA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45-27 | .625 | - | 380 | 258 | |
| 41-30 | .577 | 3.5 | 315 | 310 | |
| 37-38 | .493 | 9.5 | 306 | 319 | |
| 35-41 | .461 | 12 | 349 | 385 | |
| 29-43 | .403 | 16 | 282 | 295 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Narváez | 41 | 121 | 15 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .207 | |
| Connor Wong | 29 | 79 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 2 | .266 | |
| Mickey Gasper | 29 | 93 | 11 | 25 | 0 | 6 | 0 | .269 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras | 70 | 249 | 34 | 72 | 16 | 44 | 1 | .289 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Mayer | 64 | 185 | 18 | 40 | 3 | 18 | 3 | .216 | |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 47 | 119 | 19 | 33 | 2 | 13 | 7 | .277 | |
| Anthony Seigler | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Durbin | 65 | 208 | 22 | 40 | 4 | 27 | 5 | .192 | |
| Nate Eaton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | |
| Nick Sogard | 12 | 35 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .257 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Story | 41 | 165 | 16 | 34 | 3 | 19 | 4 | .206 | |
| Andruw Monasterio | 40 | 111 | 11 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 1 | .234 |
| Player | GP | AB | R | H | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | 67 | 272 | 35 | 57 | 12 | 37 | 11 | .210 | |
| Wilyer Abreu | 71 | 277 | 31 | 76 | 8 | 34 | 5 | .274 | |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | 69 | 251 | 30 | 72 | 7 | 32 | 7 | .287 | |
| Roman Anthony | 30 | 109 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 2 | .229 | |
| Masataka Yoshida | 49 | 141 | 15 | 35 | 1 | 10 | 1 | .248 |
| Player | GP | W | L | SV | IP | SO | ERA | WHIP | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connelly Early | 14 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 75.2 | 72 | 3.81 | 1.32 | |
| Ranger Suárez | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 70.0 | 70 | 3.21 | 1.17 | |
| Payton Tolle | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 58.1 | 60 | 2.93 | 1.06 | |
| Sonny Gray | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 69.1 | 55 | 3.12 | 1.18 | |
| Brayan Bello | 12 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 61.0 | 44 | 6.34 | 1.67 | |
| Garrett Crochet | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 30.0 | 37 | 6.30 | 1.47 | |
| Jake Bennett | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20.2 | 13 | 4.79 | 1.26 | |
| Johan Oviedo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 3 | 9.82 | 1.91 | |
| Eduardo Rivera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.30 | |
| Tyler Uberstine | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2.2 | 2 | 3.38 | 1.50 |
| Player | GP | W | L | SV | IP | SO | ERA | WHIP | O/S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 22 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21.2 | 29 | 0.83 | 0.97 | |
| Ryan Watson | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42.2 | 33 | 5.06 | 1.38 | |
| Tommy Kahnle | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | 4 | 1.50 | 1.67 | |
| Danny Coulombe | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15.1 | 10 | 5.28 | 1.37 | |
| Tyron Guerrero | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10.1 | 16 | 4.36 | 1.16 | |
| Jack Anderson | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 4 | 3.00 | 0.67 | |
| Garrett Whitlock | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21.2 | 27 | 2.91 | 1.06 | |
| Zack Kelly | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16.1 | 14 | 3.31 | 1.29 | |
| Greg Weissert | 31 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29.0 | 29 | 3.72 | 1.31 | |
| Justin Slaten | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14.1 | 18 | 6.28 | 1.61 | |
| Tyler Samaniego | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20.1 | 17 | 2.66 | 1.48 | |
| Jovani Morán | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33.0 | 38 | 3.00 | 1.06 | |
| Joe La Sorsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 27.00 | 3.00 | |
| Alec Gamboa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Jack Anderson | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 6 | 3.38 | 1.25 |
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| DATE | OPP | SCORE | MATCHUP |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 | TOR | L 1-6 | Payton Tolle Dylan Cease |
| 06-17 | TOR | L 0-3 | Jake Bennett Braydon Fisher |
| 06-18 | TOR | 01:35 EDT | Sonny Gray Trey Yesavage |
| 06-19 | @SEA | 10:10 EDT | Ranger Suarez Bryce Miller |
| 06-20 | @SEA | 04:10 EDT | |
| 06-20 | @SEA | 10:10 EDT | Connelly Early Emerson Hancock |
| 06-21 | @SEA | 04:10 EDT | Payton Tolle Logan Gilbert |
Mar 24th
Red Sox to Start Connelly Early Sunday in Cincinnati, Use Johan Oviedo ...
Jan 14th
Red Sox Lock Up Ranger Suárez and Garrett Crochet; Early or Tolle Trade ...
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| Zack Gelof ATH 3B | +8.9 |
| Martin Perez ATL SP | +8.7 |
| Paul Goldschmidt NYY 1B | +7.4 |
| Nasim Nunez WAS 2B | +5.7 |
| Dominic Canzone SEA DH | +5.6 |
| Noah Cameron KC SP | +4.3 |
| Sean Manaea NYM RP | +4.3 |
| George Springer TOR DH | +4.2 |
| Peter Lambert HOU SP | +4.2 |
| Jose Caballero NYY SS | +4.1 |
| Shane Drohan MIL RP | +4.0 |
| joshua baez STL RF | +4.0 |
| Tommy Edman LAD 2B | +3.9 |
| Sam Aldegheri LAA SP | +3.5 |
| Donovan Walton LAA 3B | +3.5 |
| Kumar Rocker TEX SP | -7.0 |
| Merrill Kelly ARI SP | -6.4 |
| Edward Cabrera CHC SP | -6.3 |
| Gleyber Torres DET 2B | -5.5 |
| Brandon Young BAL SP | -5.3 |
| Braden Montgomery CHW RF | -4.1 |
| Chase DeLauter CLE RF | -3.8 |
| Grant Holmes ATL SP | -3.4 |
| Kodai Senga NYM SP | -3.3 |
| Cole Ragans KC SP | -3.2 |
| Nick Lodolo CIN SP | -3.0 |
| Tyler Phillips MIA SP | -3.0 |
| Spencer Strider ATL SP | -3.0 |
| Ryan Waldschmidt ARI CF | -2.7 |
| Andrew Painter PHI SP | -2.6 |