Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers NFL Best Bets Featuring Jordan Love, Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Prop
It's Week 4 and we have a big game on Thursday Night Football. Last week we saw the San Francisco 49ers dismantle the New York Giants on Thursday night. This week we get the Detroit Lions going on the road to take on the Green Bay Packers. While it's only Week 4, this is a game that could be a major factor in deciding the winner of the NFC North. To this point, the NFC North is looking like a two-horse race between the 2-1 Lions and the 2-1 Packers. We have been getting much better games on Thursday this season and this game is no exception.
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Week 4 Thursday Night Football Best Bets
This is a pretty even matchup and should be a great game. Jordan Love has exceeded expectations through three games and now he gets his best wide receiver back. Christian Watson is expected to make his season debut on Thursday Night Football. Aaron Jones were still aren't sure about. If Jones can suit up and is close to fully healthy he would give this offense a major boost. It will be interesting to see how the targets are distributed with Watson on the field. On the other side of the ball, it looks like the Packers will be without Jaire Alexander and De'Vondre Campbell. That's a massive blow to their defense.
The Lions have always been a tough and scrappy team under head coach Dan Campbell. Now they have acquired the talent too and are a very dangerous team. The Lions are a legitimate playoff team in the NFC and will be a tough out in the playoffs. The Packers are going to have to figure out a way to stop Amon-Ra St. Brown without Alexander. It's looking like David Montgomery is going to miss another game, so it's going to be rookie Jahmyr Gibbs leading the backfield. At some point, this team is going to put it all together and it's going to be scary for other teams. They are still young but they are coming.
For fantasy, we are starting pretty much everybody on the Lions and a bunch of Packers. If you've been rolling with Love then plug him in. Jared Goff often struggles on the road, but we are still playing him because the Packers' defense is really banged up. St. Brown is an auto-start and get Gibbs in your lineups. Of course, and you're starting tight end Sam LaPorta, and Luke Musgrave is a borderline starter. If Watson plays he's startable but I wouldn't play Romeo Doubs quite yet. AJ Dillon shouldn't be in lineups either. If Jones suits up play him, but avoid Dillon.
We do believe that the Lions are the better team if all things are equal. Nonetheless, all things aren't equal. Road teams have a tough time on Thursday night and we believe the Packers will eek this one out. It will be a very tight game, however, at the end of the day, we're going for the home team. Look for the Packers to somehow sneak this one out. Both teams are, ready, and ready to go!
The Picks
(Since writing this the odds have drastically changed. Current odds are updated below)
Green Bay Packers +1.5 -108
Green Bay Packers Moneyline +102
Over/Under O46 (-108)
Player Props Of The Night
Prop #1: Jordan Love, Over 1.5 TD Passes (+110)
We are taking the bet that Love is going to throw at least two TDs in this game. In three games he has seven TD passes and that's without his best receiver. In two of three games the Lions have allowed two TD passes and the one they didn't was against the Atlanta Falcons who refuse to throw the ball. Put your money on Love throwing two tonight.
Prop #2: Darnell Savage, Over 6.5 Tackles + Assists (+110)
Savage has been a tackling machine this season and is going to top this number. He has in every single game this year. In his worst game, he had seven tackles + assists. With 24 total tackles on the season. Both are bets just putting money on things that happen almost every week.
Prop #3: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Over 6.5 Receptions (+100)
We are going all in on St. Brown here. With Alexander sidelined they will not be able to contain him. St. Brown is averaging seven receptions per game this season. Again we are just betting on a guy to do what he usually does. We need him to hit his average at +odds. Believe in St. Brown tonight.
