Best NFL Player Prop Bets Week 11: George Pickens Thrives Against the Browns
Dr. Roto highlights his top player prop bets for Week 11 of the NFL season.
Best Week 11 Player Prop Bets
Please remember to “prop shop” and make sure you are looking at all the sportsbooks in your state to get the best value.
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George Pickens, Pittsburgh Steelers | OVER 34.5 receiving yards (FantasySP projects 49.4)
This feels like a prop that may not hit considering Pickens has been relatively underused since Diontae Johnson has returned. However, the one thing that people seem to forget is that the defense that is played is often critical to winning bets. The Browns play the most man coverage in the league and that is where Pickens thrives. He can beat almost any cornerback one-on-one and the Browns’ top cornerback will likely be covering Johnson. If Matt Canada allows Pickett to throw the football, Pickens should be a likely OVER this week.
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins | OVER 1.5 TD passes (FantasySP projects 2.1)
It feels like forever since Miami has played its last game considering they played at 9:30 AM ET two weeks ago in Germany and they were on BYE in Week 10. But now Miami is at home against Las Vegas and I fully expect that they will continue their excellent play. When people analyze this game, they will likely see that Las Vegas is terrible at stopping the run but I think that's where we can take advantage of the masses. FantasySP projects that Tua will have two touchdown passes and I fully agree as Miami could score 34+ points.
Romeo Doubs, Green Bay Packers | OVER 2.5 receptions (FantasySP projects 3.5)
The Chargers lost a very close game at home to the Lions in what was the biggest shootout of Week 10. If the Chargers want to compete for a playoff spot they're going to have to go on the road to Green Bay and earn it. I think that the Chargers will get out to a big lead and Green Bay will be forced to pass the ball in the second half and take Jordan Love out of his comfort zone. It always feels like Doubs is Love’s main target especially when the team is trailing, and he always looks for him in the red zone. I think he gets three receptions this week without question.
Amari Cooper, Cleveland Browns | OVER 44.5 receiving yards (FantasySP projects 60.2)
The Browns lost Deshaun Watson for the season and they have decided to start Dorian Thompson-Robinson (DTR) as their quarterback. The last time we saw DTR he threw for 121 passing yards and three interceptions. However, I was speaking to a Browns insider who said that when DTR got his first start he didn't know he was playing until 2 hours before the game and the Browns didn't scheme plays for his playing style. I think they named him the starter early in the week so that they could scheme for him better. Young QBs usually lock into one receiver, and I am expecting that to be Cooper. Plus we all know that the Pittsburgh secondary is weak so this feels like a good spot to play the OVER.