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2023 Fantasy Baseball Closer Tracker: Josh Hader, Felix Bautista, More (4/14/23)

Nick Roberts Apr 13th 10:27 PM EDT.

For as long as I’ve been playing fantasy baseball, I’ve been obsessed with closers. Home runs are cool. Strikeouts are great. But for whatever reason, there’s no better fantasy baseball satisfaction for me than picking up a newly-minted closer on the waiver wire. 

You’re ultimately really only fishing for one category, but it’s an important category you can take advantage of. There are only 30 closers, and you can control a decent amount of trade value if you can corner the market on saves. And if you find the best kind of high-upside closer (one who keeps his ERA/WHIP down and has a strikeout rate of more than 9 K/9), you actually end up with a pickup who helps you in almost all of your pitching categories. 

All that said, it can be tricky to find a closer on your waiver wire. Once they become available, you’re basically stuck fighting your league-mates to add the guy, and the odds of you getting him become quite low. 

All of that preamble finally brings me to my point…

We can’t predict injuries that might force a new closer into the mix, but we can try and grab the most likely middle relievers who might eventually become a closer. That means you’re sometimes rostering a middle reliever, but most of the middle relievers who are next in line to become their team’s closer are good enough to help your fantasy team even if they don’t take over closing duties.

In the space below, I’ve created a Closer Tracker that will hopefully stay ahead of the closer curve. I’m going to update this every Friday for the rest of the season, so please feel free to send feedback if there’s anything you’d like to see.

Peep the latest waiver wire trends to gain an edge over your opponents in your fantasy baseball leagues!

The Closer Tracker is organized in three ways:

  1. In the left column, you’ll find my closer power rankings. This order is based on a mix of current statistics weighted (in my mind) with how I think these players will perform over the rest of the season.
  2. In the middle column, you’ll see my best attempt at quantifying how stable a closer’s job is. Or said another way, how closely do you have to pay attention to this situation?
  3. In the right column, you’ll find the player who looks to be next in line. If you see red in the middle column, you should probably grab this guy on your waiver wire.

Lastly, keep scrolling all the way to the bottom for my top takeaways. I promise this isn’t a marketing trick – I just don’t want to spoil the Closer Tracker.

 

Closer Tracker (last updated 4/14/23)

Closer Power Rankings

Job Stability

Next in line

1. Josh Hader

VERY SECURE

Luis Garcia

2. Felix Bautista

VERY SECURE

Cionel Perez

3. Emmanuel Clase

VERY SECURE

James Karinchak

4. Clay Holmes

VERY SECURE

Michael King

5. Jordan Romano

VERY SECURE

Erik Swanson

6. David Bednar

VERY SECURE

Colin Holderman

7. Ryan Helsey

VERY SECURE

Giovanny Gallegos

8. Devin Williams

VERY SECURE

Matt Bush

9. Ryan Pressly

VERY SECURE

Rafael Montero

10. David Robertson

VERY SECURE

Adam Ottavino

11. AJ Minter

VERY SECURE

Joe Jimenez

12. Pete Fairbanks

 SECURE

Jason Adam

13. Evan Phillips

SECURE

Brusder Graterol

14. Camilo Doval

SECURE

Taylor Rogers

15. Paul Sewald

SECURE

Matt Brash

16. Kenley Jansen

SECURE

Chris Martin

17. Michael Fulmer

SECURE

Brad Boxberger

18. Pierce Johnson

SECURE

Brad Hand

19. Jhoan Duran

COMMITTEE-ISH

Jorge Lopez

20. A.J. Puk

SOMEWHAT STABLE  

 Dylan Floro

21. Alexis Diaz

 SOMEWHAT STABLE 

Ian Gibaut 

22. Jose Alvardo

SOMEWHAT STABLE 

 Craig Kimbrel

23. Carlos Estevez

SHAKY 

Jose Quijada

24. Alex Lange

SHAKY 

Jason Foley 

25. Jose Leclerc

 COMMITTEE

Will Smith 

26. Alex Lange

SHAKY 

Aroldis Chapman 

27. Kyle Finnegan

VERY SHAKY  

Hunter Harvey 

28. Reynaldo Lopez

 COMMITTEE

Kendall Graveman 

29. Danny Jimenez

COMMITTEE 

 Trevor May

30. Scott McGough

VERY SHAKY 

Miguel Castro

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Top takeaways:

  1. There really aren't that many really good closers right now. Maybe 10 or 11? After that, it's a bit of a grab-bag -- which makes guys like Hader or Bautista or Clase so valuable right now. It also makes guys like Bednar, Minter, and Robertson look like draft day steals. 
  2. The Royals closer job isn't that valuable of a job to have, but I'm grabbing Aroldis Chapman where I can. And no, it is not 2015 again.
  3. It looks like Pete Fairbanks might be the Rays closer. And if they keep winning every game, that will be a very valuable job to have.
  4. Jose Alvardo is a guy you should scoop up if he's available in your league.
  5. I know his numbers aren't bad, but I'm worried about Kenley Jansen. And no, this isn't a ringing endorsement for Chris Martin. He's fine, but that's not a valuable role to have with the current state of the Red Sox.

 


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